Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600679) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group) (SHSE:600679) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 12% over the last three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. In this article, we decided to focus on Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group)'s ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

View our latest analysis for Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group)

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group) is:

2.8% = CN¥64m ÷ CN¥2.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.03.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group)'s Earnings Growth And 2.8% ROE

It is quite clear that Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group)'s ROE is rather low. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 7.6%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. For this reason, Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group)'s five year net income decline of 28% is not surprising given its lower ROE. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

As a next step, we compared Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group)'s performance with the industry and found thatShanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group)'s performance is depressing even when compared with the industry, which has shrunk its earnings at a rate of 3.4% in the same period, which is a slower than the company.

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group) is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group) Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group)'s low three-year median payout ratio of 20% (or a retention ratio of 80%) over the last three years should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings to fuel its growth but the company's earnings have actually shrunk. The low payout should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see some growth. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For instance, the business has faced some headwinds.

In addition, Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group) has been paying dividends over a period of four years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group) can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. To know the 2 risks we have identified for Shanghai Phoenix Enterprise (Group) visit our risks dashboard for free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.