FESCO Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

FESCO Group's earnings are forecast to decline at 1.1% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 12.3% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 1.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 13.1% in 3 years.

Key information

-1.1%

Earnings growth rate

-1.13%

EPS growth rate

Professional Services earnings growth	19.5%
Revenue growth rate	12.3%
Future return on equity	13.13%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	30 Apr 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

FESCO Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600861) Stock Catapults 28% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Market

Sep 27

There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of FESCO Group's (SHSE:600861) Earnings

Aug 31

FESCO Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600861) Revenues Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

Jul 31

Returns On Capital Are Showing Encouraging Signs At FESCO Group (SHSE:600861)

Jul 12

Is FESCO Group (SHSE:600861) A Risky Investment?

May 23

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SHSE:600861 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027	60,021	1,159	869	2,000	4
12/31/2026	56,225	1,055	812	1,669	7
12/31/2025	48,535	1,043	791	1,662	5
3/31/2025	43,318	1,172	1,434	1,473	N/A
12/31/2024	43,032	791	273	306	N/A
9/30/2024	42,754	842	438	513	N/A
6/30/2024	40,996	771	-42	42	N/A
3/31/2024	49,092	795	350	435	N/A
12/31/2023	38,312	548	574	644	N/A
9/30/2023	37,494	444	268	336	N/A
6/30/2023	36,398	400	527	599	N/A
3/31/2023	448	-226	-67	-46	N/A
12/31/2022	32,339	414	1	69	N/A
9/30/2022	23,752	286	-189	-165	N/A
6/30/2022	15,459	181	-263	-242	N/A
3/31/2022	691	-76	42	52	N/A
12/31/2021	697	-64	86	96	N/A
9/30/2021	725	-1	96	105	N/A
6/30/2021	741	-1	122	137	N/A
3/31/2021	720	-18	95	111	N/A
12/31/2020	704	-74	24	43	N/A
9/30/2020	1,161	-106	-35	-42	N/A
6/30/2020	1,468	-98	-58	-64	N/A
3/31/2020	1,779	-66	-134	-127	N/A
12/31/2019	2,156	10	-119	-68	N/A
9/30/2019	2,038	20	-69	2	N/A
6/30/2019	1,962	29	-97	-17	N/A
3/31/2019	1,925	36	-43	31	N/A
12/31/2018	1,919	40	N/A	38	N/A
9/30/2018	1,982	58	N/A	-2	N/A
6/30/2018	2,028	65	N/A	-39	N/A
3/31/2018	2,092	70	N/A	-76	N/A
12/31/2017	2,223	85	N/A	27	N/A
9/30/2017	2,418	63	N/A	428	N/A
6/30/2017	2,558	91	N/A	901	N/A
3/31/2017	2,669	90	N/A	971	N/A
12/31/2016	2,720	86	N/A	862	N/A
9/30/2016	2,801	112	N/A	436	N/A
6/30/2016	3,023	110	N/A	41	N/A
3/31/2016	2,830	108	N/A	-71	N/A
12/31/2015	2,714	108	N/A	-178	N/A
9/30/2015	2,469	114	N/A	-409	N/A
6/30/2015	2,064	95	N/A	-568	N/A
3/31/2015	2,111	100	N/A	-601	N/A
12/31/2014	2,219	102	N/A	-203	N/A
9/30/2014	2,251	92	N/A	-57	N/A
6/30/2014	2,328	92	N/A	68	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 600861's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-1.1% per year).

Earnings vs Market: 600861's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-1.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 600861's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 600861's revenue (12.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the CN market (12.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 600861's revenue (12.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 600861's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (13.1%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/05/14 15:15
End of Day Share Price	2025/05/14 00:00
Earnings	2025/03/31
Annual Earnings	2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

FESCO Group Co., Ltd. is covered by 8 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Ximin Gu	China Galaxy Securities Co., Ltd.
Zhuonan Xu	China International Capital Corporation Limited
Ya Jiang	Citic Securities Co., Ltd.

FESCO Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target decreased by 19% to CN¥21.50

Price target decreased by 13% to CN¥26.50

Recent updates

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

FESCO Group Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 19, 2025

FESCO Group Co., Ltd. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on Apr 26, 2025

Beijing Jingguoguan Real Estate Investment Co., Ltd. completed the acquisition of Beijing Urban And Rural Huangsi Commercial Building Co.,Ltd. from FESCO Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600861).

Is FESCO Group (SHSE:600861) A Risky Investment?

FESCO Group's (SHSE:600861) Returns On Capital Are Heading Higher

Little Excitement Around FESCO Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600861) Earnings

FESCO Group Co., Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Apr 26, 2025

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At FESCO Group (SHSE:600861)

Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.37 (vs CN¥0.21 in 3Q 2023)

We Think FESCO Group (SHSE:600861) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

New minor risk - Share price stability

FESCO Group Co., Ltd. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 29, 2024

FESCO Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600861) Stock Catapults 28% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Market

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17%

There May Be Underlying Issues With The Quality Of FESCO Group's (SHSE:600861) Earnings

Price target decreased by 19% to CN¥21.50

Second quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.39 (vs CN¥0.45 in 2Q 2023)

FESCO Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600861) Revenues Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

Returns On Capital Are Showing Encouraging Signs At FESCO Group (SHSE:600861)

FESCO Group Co., Ltd. to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Aug 29, 2024

Is FESCO Group (SHSE:600861) A Risky Investment?

Price target decreased by 13% to CN¥26.50

First quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.37 (vs CN¥0.096 loss in 1Q 2023)

FESCO Group Co., Ltd., Annual General Meeting, May 22, 2024

FESCO Group Co., Ltd. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Apr 26, 2024

FESCO Group Co., Ltd. to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Apr 26, 2024

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.21 (vs CN¥0.17 loss in 3Q 2022)

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥0.45 (vs CN¥0.21 loss in 2Q 2022)

FESCO Group Co., Ltd. to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Aug 29, 2023

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Insufficient new directors

Third quarter 2022 earnings released: CN¥0.17 loss per share (vs CN¥0.04 loss in 3Q 2021)

Second quarter 2022 earnings released: CN¥0.21 loss per share (vs CN¥0.04 loss in 2Q 2021)

First quarter 2022 earnings released: CN¥0.062 loss per share (vs CN¥0.021 loss in 1Q 2021)

Less than half of directors are independent

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Third quarter 2021 earnings released: CN¥0.04 loss per share (vs CN¥0.041 loss in 3Q 2020)

Less than half of directors are independent

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: CN¥0.04 loss per share (vs CN¥0.092 loss in 2Q 2020)

First quarter 2021 earnings released: CN¥0.021 loss per share (vs CN¥0.20 loss in 1Q 2020)

Full year 2020 earnings released: CN¥0.23 loss per share (vs CN¥0.031 profit in FY 2019)

New 90-day low: CN¥14.78

New 90-day low: CN¥18.16

Third quarter earnings released

Beijing Urban-Rural Commercial (Group) Co.,Ltd. to Report Q3, 2020 Results on Oct 31, 2020

New 90-day high: CN¥22.55

New 90-day high: CN¥21.00

Beijing Urban-Rural Commercial (Group) Co.,Ltd. to Report First Half, 2020 Results on Aug 29, 2020

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data Sources

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Industry and Sector Metrics

Analyst Sources