Jiangsu Guomao Reducer Co., Ltd.

XSSC:603915 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥7.6b

Jiangsu Guomao Reducer Valuation

Is 603915 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 603915 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 603915 (CN¥11.47) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥40.3)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 603915 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 603915?

Key metric: As 603915 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 603915. This is calculated by dividing 603915's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 603915's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.4x
EarningsCN¥337.75m
Market CapCN¥7.56b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 603915's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 603915 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average67.1x
002073 Mesnac
17.1xn/aCN¥8.0b
301392 Guangdong Huicheng Vacuum Technology
71.2xn/aCN¥6.6b
002006 Zhejiang Jinggong Integration Technology
60.6xn/aCN¥7.0b
688700 Kunshan Dongwei TechnologyLtd
119.4x65.0%CN¥8.4b
603915 Jiangsu Guomao Reducer
22.4x24.7%CN¥7.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 603915 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.4x) compared to the peer average (67.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 603915's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Machinery Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
002021 Zoje Resources Investment
4.6xn/aUS$398.81m
No more companies available in this PE range
603915 22.4xIndustry Avg. 35.0xNo. of Companies54PE020406080100+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 603915 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.4x) compared to the CN Machinery industry average (35x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 603915's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

603915 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.4x
Fair PE Ratio23.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 603915 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 603915 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥11.47
CN¥14.85
+29.5%
39.4%CN¥20.70CN¥9.00n/a2
Nov ’25CN¥9.56
CN¥14.85
+55.3%
39.4%CN¥20.70CN¥9.00n/a2
Oct ’25CN¥10.70
CN¥14.85
+38.8%
39.4%CN¥20.70CN¥9.00n/a2
Sep ’25CN¥8.37
CN¥16.35
+95.3%
26.6%CN¥20.70CN¥12.00n/a2
Aug ’25CN¥9.20
CN¥16.35
+77.7%
26.6%CN¥20.70CN¥12.00n/a2
Jul ’25CN¥10.40
CN¥16.35
+57.2%
26.6%CN¥20.70CN¥12.00n/a2
Jun ’25CN¥14.30
CN¥18.90
+32.2%
26.8%CN¥24.00CN¥12.00n/a3
May ’25CN¥13.62
CN¥19.57
+43.7%
21.3%CN¥24.00CN¥14.00n/a3
Apr ’25CN¥13.90
CN¥20.27
+45.8%
22.0%CN¥24.00CN¥14.00n/a3
Mar ’25CN¥13.65
CN¥20.27
+48.5%
22.0%CN¥24.00CN¥14.00n/a3
Feb ’25CN¥11.63
CN¥20.27
+74.3%
22.0%CN¥24.00CN¥14.00n/a3
Jan ’25CN¥16.48
CN¥20.27
+23.0%
22.0%CN¥24.00CN¥14.00n/a3
Dec ’24CN¥17.29
CN¥20.27
+17.2%
22.0%CN¥24.00CN¥14.00n/a3
Nov ’24CN¥16.40
CN¥21.00
+28.0%
23.7%CN¥25.00CN¥14.00CN¥9.563
Oct ’24CN¥17.49
CN¥21.00
+20.1%
23.7%CN¥25.00CN¥14.00CN¥10.703
Sep ’24CN¥17.57
CN¥21.00
+19.5%
23.7%CN¥25.00CN¥14.00CN¥8.373
Aug ’24CN¥18.94
CN¥19.00
+0.3%
26.3%CN¥24.00CN¥14.00CN¥9.202
Jul ’24CN¥21.18
CN¥18.50
-12.7%
29.7%CN¥24.00CN¥13.00CN¥10.402
Jun ’24CN¥17.39
CN¥18.50
+6.4%
29.7%CN¥24.00CN¥13.00CN¥14.302
May ’24CN¥19.43
CN¥20.00
+2.9%
25.0%CN¥25.00CN¥15.00CN¥13.622
Apr ’24CN¥19.65
CN¥20.00
+1.8%
25.0%CN¥25.00CN¥15.00CN¥13.902
Mar ’24CN¥23.65
CN¥20.00
-15.4%
25.0%CN¥25.00CN¥15.00CN¥13.652
Feb ’24CN¥22.19
CN¥20.00
-9.9%
25.0%CN¥25.00CN¥15.00CN¥11.632
Jan ’24CN¥20.84
CN¥20.00
-4.0%
25.0%CN¥25.00CN¥15.00CN¥16.482
Nov ’23CN¥19.78
CN¥26.00
+31.4%
15.4%CN¥30.00CN¥22.00CN¥16.402

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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