Hangcha Group Co., Ltd

XSSC:603298 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥22.6b

Hangcha Group Valuation

Is 603298 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 603298 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 603298 (CN¥17.29) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥55.93)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 603298 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 603298?

Key metric: As 603298 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 603298. This is calculated by dividing 603298's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 603298's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.3x
EarningsCN¥2.00b
Market CapCN¥22.65b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 603298's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 603298 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.2x
601717 Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group
6.1x11.6%CN¥22.7b
000528 Guangxi Liugong Machinery
16.9x31.4%CN¥23.0b
688425 China Railway Construction Heavy Industry
18.3x17.2%CN¥25.8b
600761 Anhui HeliLtd
11.3x17.6%CN¥15.8b
603298 Hangcha Group
11.3x12.2%CN¥22.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 603298 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the peer average (13.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 603298's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Machinery Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
002021 Zoje Resources Investment
4.7xn/aUS$409.26m
No more companies available in this PE range
603298 11.3xIndustry Avg. 34.9xNo. of Companies54PE020406080100+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 603298 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the CN Machinery industry average (34.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 603298's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

603298 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.3x
Fair PE Ratio20.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 603298 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 603298 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥17.29
CN¥22.90
+32.4%
8.5%CN¥27.30CN¥20.00n/a8
Nov ’25CN¥17.84
CN¥22.90
+28.3%
8.5%CN¥27.30CN¥20.00n/a8
Oct ’25CN¥21.74
CN¥21.98
+1.1%
7.2%CN¥23.85CN¥18.40n/a7
Sep ’25CN¥17.59
CN¥21.78
+23.8%
8.3%CN¥23.85CN¥18.40n/a5
Aug ’25CN¥16.45
CN¥24.15
+46.8%
14.2%CN¥29.70CN¥20.29n/a5
Jul ’25CN¥19.86
CN¥25.47
+28.3%
15.3%CN¥29.70CN¥20.29n/a3
Jun ’25CN¥20.01
CN¥25.47
+27.3%
15.3%CN¥29.70CN¥20.29n/a3
May ’25CN¥21.40
CN¥25.47
+19.0%
15.3%CN¥29.70CN¥20.29n/a3
Apr ’25CN¥20.34
CN¥24.60
+20.9%
8.0%CN¥26.43CN¥21.86n/a3
Mar ’25CN¥20.76
CN¥24.60
+18.5%
8.0%CN¥26.43CN¥21.86n/a3
Feb ’25CN¥16.49
CN¥24.60
+49.1%
8.0%CN¥26.43CN¥21.86n/a3
Jan ’25CN¥17.77
CN¥22.00
+23.8%
7.7%CN¥24.29CN¥20.21n/a3
Dec ’24CN¥15.75
CN¥22.00
+39.7%
7.7%CN¥24.29CN¥20.21n/a3
Nov ’24CN¥15.31
CN¥22.00
+43.6%
7.7%CN¥24.29CN¥20.21CN¥17.843
Oct ’24CN¥18.26
CN¥21.90
+19.9%
10.9%CN¥24.29CN¥18.64CN¥21.743
Sep ’24CN¥16.64
CN¥20.80
+25.0%
7.4%CN¥22.14CN¥18.64CN¥17.593
Aug ’24CN¥17.82
CN¥19.16
+7.5%
11.1%CN¥22.14CN¥17.00CN¥16.454
Jul ’24CN¥16.82
CN¥16.93
+0.7%
2.4%CN¥17.33CN¥16.27CN¥19.864
Jun ’24CN¥14.43
CN¥16.93
+17.4%
2.4%CN¥17.33CN¥16.27CN¥20.014
May ’24CN¥15.24
CN¥16.93
+11.2%
2.4%CN¥17.33CN¥16.27CN¥21.404
Mar ’24CN¥15.25
CN¥15.79
+3.5%
6.3%CN¥16.79CN¥14.79CN¥20.762
Feb ’24CN¥13.69
CN¥15.07
+10.1%
1.9%CN¥15.36CN¥14.79CN¥16.492
Jan ’24CN¥12.01
CN¥15.07
+25.5%
1.9%CN¥15.36CN¥14.79CN¥17.772
Dec ’23CN¥13.18
CN¥15.07
+14.4%
1.9%CN¥15.36CN¥14.79CN¥15.752
Nov ’23CN¥11.98
CN¥15.07
+25.8%
1.9%CN¥15.36CN¥14.79CN¥15.312

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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