Is 601890 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6
Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 601890 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 601890 (CN¥8.04) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥0.87)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 601890 is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 601890?
Key metric: As 601890 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 601890. This is calculated by dividing 601890's market cap by their current
earnings.
What is 601890's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio
30.4x
Earnings
CN¥253.92m
Market Cap
CN¥7.71b
601890 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 601890 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.4x) compared to the CN Machinery industry average (34.7x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 601890's PE Ratio
compared to its
Fair PE Ratio?
This is the expected PE Ratio taking into
account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins
and other risk factors.
601890 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio
30.4x
Fair PE Ratio
20.9x
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 601890 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
The above table shows the analyst 601890 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date
Share Price
Average 1Y Price Target
Dispersion
High
Low
1Y Actual price
Analysts
Current
CN¥8.04
CN¥10.80
+34.3%
11.1%
CN¥12.00
CN¥9.60
n/a
2
Nov ’25
CN¥7.81
CN¥9.95
+27.4%
15.6%
CN¥12.00
CN¥8.25
n/a
3
Oct ’25
CN¥7.94
CN¥9.91
+24.8%
15.1%
CN¥11.88
CN¥8.25
n/a
3
Sep ’25
CN¥6.84
CN¥9.91
+44.9%
15.1%
CN¥11.88
CN¥8.25
n/a
3
Aug ’25
CN¥7.36
CN¥10.21
+38.7%
14.4%
CN¥11.78
CN¥8.25
n/a
3
Jul ’25
CN¥7.09
CN¥10.21
+44.0%
14.4%
CN¥11.78
CN¥8.25
n/a
3
Jun ’25
CN¥7.75
CN¥10.66
+37.5%
14.0%
CN¥12.00
CN¥8.25
n/a
4
May ’25
CN¥8.16
CN¥10.66
+30.6%
14.0%
CN¥12.00
CN¥8.25
n/a
4
Apr ’25
CN¥8.41
CN¥12.08
+43.6%
2.6%
CN¥12.50
CN¥11.73
n/a
3
Mar ’25
CN¥8.38
CN¥12.08
+44.1%
2.6%
CN¥12.50
CN¥11.73
n/a
3
Feb ’25
CN¥7.44
CN¥12.08
+62.3%
2.6%
CN¥12.50
CN¥11.73
n/a
3
Jan ’25
CN¥9.90
CN¥12.08
+22.0%
2.6%
CN¥12.50
CN¥11.73
n/a
3
Dec ’24
CN¥9.24
CN¥12.08
+30.7%
2.6%
CN¥12.50
CN¥11.73
n/a
3
Nov ’24
CN¥9.36
CN¥12.08
+29.0%
2.6%
CN¥12.50
CN¥11.73
CN¥7.81
3
Oct ’24
CN¥9.59
CN¥11.85
+23.5%
5.1%
CN¥12.50
CN¥11.04
CN¥7.94
3
Sep ’24
CN¥10.03
CN¥11.85
+18.1%
5.1%
CN¥12.50
CN¥11.04
CN¥6.84
3
Aug ’24
CN¥10.59
CN¥12.25
+15.7%
2.0%
CN¥12.50
CN¥12.00
CN¥7.36
2
Jul ’24
CN¥11.58
CN¥11.25
-2.8%
2.2%
CN¥11.50
CN¥11.00
CN¥7.09
2
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.