Moon Environment TechnologyLtd Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 000811 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

000811 (CN¥10.55) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (CN¥2.03)

Is 000811 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 000811 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 000811 (CN¥10.55) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥2.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 000811 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 000811?

Key metric: As 000811 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 000811. This is calculated by dividing 000811's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 000811's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	14.4x
Earnings	CN¥561.02m
Market Cap	CN¥8.06b

000811 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	10.2x
PEG Ratio	1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 000811's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 000811 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	36.7x
603169 Lanzhou LS Heavy Equipment	67.5x	46.3%	CN¥7.7b
002101 Guangdong Hongtu Technology (holdings)Ltd	22.9x	20.8%	CN¥8.7b
301377 Guangdong Dtech Technology	35.7x	n/a	CN¥7.9b
002204 Dalian Huarui Heavy Industry Group	20.9x	n/a	CN¥9.3b
000811 Moon Environment TechnologyLtd	14.4x	14.2%	CN¥8.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 000811 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.4x) compared to the peer average (36.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 000811's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Machinery Industry?

1 Company	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
002021 Zoje Resources Investment	4.6x	n/a	US$398.30m

No more companies available in this PE range

1 Company		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 000811 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.4x) compared to the CN Machinery industry average (34.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 000811's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

000811 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	14.4x
Fair PE Ratio	18.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 000811 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 000811 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	CN¥10.55	CN¥10.88 +3.1%	8.0%	CN¥11.75	CN¥10.00	n/a	2
Nov ’25	CN¥10.20	CN¥10.88 +6.6%	8.0%	CN¥11.75	CN¥10.00	n/a	2
Oct ’25	CN¥10.31	CN¥10.60 +2.8%	5.7%	CN¥11.20	CN¥10.00	n/a	2
Sep ’25	CN¥8.13	CN¥10.60 +30.4%	5.7%	CN¥11.20	CN¥10.00	n/a	2
Aug ’25	CN¥8.82	CN¥14.66 +66.2%	2.4%	CN¥15.00	CN¥14.31	n/a	2
Jul ’25	CN¥9.72	CN¥14.66 +50.8%	2.4%	CN¥15.00	CN¥14.31	n/a	2
Jun ’25	CN¥11.09	CN¥14.66 +32.1%	2.4%	CN¥15.00	CN¥14.31	n/a	2
May ’25	CN¥11.37	CN¥14.66 +28.9%	2.4%	CN¥15.00	CN¥14.31	n/a	2
Apr ’25	CN¥11.94	CN¥14.56 +21.9%	3.1%	CN¥15.00	CN¥14.11	n/a	2
Feb ’25	CN¥10.37	CN¥19.62 +89.2%	7.1%	CN¥21.00	CN¥18.23	n/a	2
Jan ’25	CN¥13.57	CN¥19.62 +44.5%	7.1%	CN¥21.00	CN¥18.23	n/a	2
Dec ’24	CN¥14.12	CN¥19.62 +38.9%	7.1%	CN¥21.00	CN¥18.23	n/a	2
Nov ’24	CN¥12.64	CN¥19.60 +55.1%	7.1%	CN¥21.00	CN¥18.20	CN¥10.20	2
Oct ’24	CN¥14.81	CN¥19.62 +32.4%	7.1%	CN¥21.00	CN¥18.23	CN¥10.31	2
Sep ’24	CN¥16.57	CN¥19.62 +18.4%	7.1%	CN¥21.00	CN¥18.23	CN¥8.13	2
Aug ’24	CN¥17.49	CN¥21.06 +20.4%	0.3%	CN¥21.12	CN¥21.00	CN¥8.82	2
Jul ’24	CN¥15.76	CN¥17.75 +12.6%	9.9%	CN¥19.50	CN¥16.00	CN¥9.72	2
Jun ’24	CN¥14.48	CN¥17.75 +22.6%	9.9%	CN¥19.50	CN¥16.00	CN¥11.09	2
May ’24	CN¥14.80	CN¥17.75 +19.9%	9.9%	CN¥19.50	CN¥16.00	CN¥11.37	2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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