Avic Aviation High-Technology Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 600862 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

600862 (CN¥23.98) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (CN¥3.83)

Is 600862 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 600862 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 600862 (CN¥23.98) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥3.83)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 600862 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 600862?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for 600862. This is calculated by dividing 600862's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is 600862's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	CN¥40.29b

600862 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	7.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	28x
PEG Ratio	2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 600862's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 600862 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	20.4x
002595 Himile Mechanical Science and Technology (Shandong)	19.6x	14.2%	CN¥36.5b
600765 AVIC Heavy Machinery	25x	19.5%	CN¥32.8b
000039 China International Marine Containers (Group)	27.1x	37.0%	CN¥36.7b
600582 Tiandi Science & TechnologyLtd	9.8x	12.9%	CN¥25.2b
600862 Avic Aviation High-Technology	36.7x	18.2%	CN¥40.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 600862 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.7x) compared to the peer average (20.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 600862's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Machinery Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	30.7%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	30.7%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 600862 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.7x) compared to the CN Machinery industry average (34.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 600862's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

600862 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	36.7x
Fair PE Ratio	24.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 600862 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 600862 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	CN¥23.98	CN¥28.10 +17.2%	3.2%	CN¥29.00	CN¥27.20	n/a	2
Oct ’25	CN¥21.47	CN¥25.60 +19.2%	6.3%	CN¥27.20	CN¥24.00	n/a	2
Sep ’25	CN¥18.79	CN¥28.10 +49.5%	3.2%	CN¥29.00	CN¥27.20	n/a	2
Aug ’25	CN¥20.06	CN¥26.50 +32.1%	9.4%	CN¥29.00	CN¥24.00	n/a	2
Jul ’25	CN¥19.07	CN¥26.50 +39.0%	9.4%	CN¥29.00	CN¥24.00	n/a	2
Jun ’25	CN¥19.96	CN¥26.50 +32.8%	9.4%	CN¥29.00	CN¥24.00	n/a	2
May ’25	CN¥19.59	CN¥27.94 +42.6%	10.3%	CN¥30.82	CN¥24.00	n/a	3
Apr ’25	CN¥19.40	CN¥27.94 +44.0%	10.3%	CN¥30.82	CN¥24.00	n/a	3
Mar ’25	CN¥19.68	CN¥28.99 +47.3%	5.2%	CN¥30.82	CN¥27.16	n/a	3
Feb ’25	CN¥16.65	CN¥28.99 +74.1%	5.2%	CN¥30.82	CN¥27.16	n/a	3
Jan ’25	CN¥22.15	CN¥28.99 +30.9%	5.2%	CN¥30.82	CN¥27.16	n/a	3
Dec ’24	CN¥21.96	CN¥28.99 +32.0%	5.2%	CN¥30.82	CN¥27.16	n/a	3
Nov ’24	CN¥24.38	CN¥28.40 +16.5%	5.8%	CN¥30.82	CN¥26.60	CN¥23.98	4
Oct ’24	CN¥24.79	CN¥28.36 +14.4%	5.9%	CN¥30.82	CN¥26.60	CN¥21.47	4
Sep ’24	CN¥24.11	CN¥28.36 +17.6%	5.9%	CN¥30.82	CN¥26.60	CN¥18.79	4
Aug ’24	CN¥23.98	CN¥29.45 +22.8%	6.3%	CN¥31.39	CN¥26.60	CN¥20.06	4
Jul ’24	CN¥25.31	CN¥29.45 +16.4%	6.3%	CN¥31.39	CN¥26.60	CN¥19.07	4
Jun ’24	CN¥24.24	CN¥29.45 +21.5%	6.3%	CN¥31.39	CN¥26.60	CN¥19.96	4
May ’24	CN¥22.29	CN¥29.60 +32.8%	7.2%	CN¥31.39	CN¥26.60	CN¥19.59	3
Apr ’24	CN¥22.27	CN¥29.60 +32.9%	7.2%	CN¥31.39	CN¥26.60	CN¥19.40	3
Mar ’24	CN¥23.37	CN¥31.79 +36.0%	11.8%	CN¥35.55	CN¥28.02	CN¥19.68	2
Feb ’24	CN¥25.35	CN¥31.79 +25.4%	11.8%	CN¥35.55	CN¥28.02	CN¥16.65	2
Jan ’24	CN¥22.29	CN¥31.79 +42.6%	11.8%	CN¥35.55	CN¥28.02	CN¥22.15	2
Dec ’23	CN¥24.41	CN¥31.79 +30.2%	11.8%	CN¥35.55	CN¥28.02	CN¥21.96	2
Nov ’23	CN¥27.99	CN¥31.79 +13.6%	11.8%	CN¥35.55	CN¥28.02	CN¥24.38	2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.