Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co., Ltd.

XSEC:000528 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥22.4b

Guangxi Liugong Machinery Valuation

Is 000528 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 000528 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 000528 (CN¥11.29) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥122.84)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 000528 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 000528?

Key metric: As 000528 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 000528. This is calculated by dividing 000528's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 000528's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.4x
EarningsCN¥1.36b
Market CapCN¥22.40b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 000528's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 000528 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.3x
688425 China Railway Construction Heavy Industry
18.1x17.2%CN¥25.5b
603298 Hangcha Group
11.4x12.2%CN¥22.7b
601717 Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group
5.8x11.6%CN¥21.5b
000951 Sinotruk Jinan TruckLtd
14x16.7%CN¥19.0b
000528 Guangxi Liugong Machinery
16.4x31.4%CN¥22.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 000528 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.4x) compared to the peer average (12.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 000528's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Machinery Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
002021 Zoje Resources Investment
4.6xn/aUS$398.65m
No more companies available in this PE range
000528 16.4xIndustry Avg. 34.7xNo. of Companies53PE020406080100+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 000528 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.4x) compared to the CN Machinery industry average (34.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 000528's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

000528 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.4x
Fair PE Ratio30.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 000528 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 000528 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥11.29
CN¥15.23
+34.9%
8.7%CN¥17.00CN¥13.30n/a4
Nov ’25CN¥12.17
CN¥15.23
+25.1%
8.7%CN¥17.00CN¥13.30n/a4
Oct ’25CN¥12.50
CN¥12.22
-2.2%
5.4%CN¥13.00CN¥11.38n/a4
Sep ’25CN¥9.58
CN¥11.60
+21.0%
12.6%CN¥13.00CN¥9.30n/a4
Aug ’25CN¥9.84
CN¥12.17
+23.6%
13.9%CN¥13.66CN¥9.30n/a4
Jul ’25CN¥11.32
CN¥11.00
-2.8%
15.5%CN¥12.70CN¥9.30n/a4
Jun ’25CN¥10.28
CN¥11.00
+7.0%
15.5%CN¥12.70CN¥9.30n/a4
May ’25CN¥10.54
CN¥11.00
+4.4%
15.5%CN¥12.70CN¥9.30n/a4
Apr ’25CN¥8.59
CN¥9.06
+5.4%
8.2%CN¥10.16CN¥8.30n/a4
Mar ’25CN¥7.85
CN¥8.80
+12.1%
4.8%CN¥9.30CN¥8.30n/a4
Feb ’25CN¥6.96
CN¥8.80
+26.4%
4.8%CN¥9.30CN¥8.30n/a4
Jan ’25CN¥6.74
CN¥9.07
+34.6%
10.8%CN¥10.46CN¥8.30n/a3
Dec ’24CN¥6.32
CN¥9.11
+44.1%
9.4%CN¥10.46CN¥8.30n/a4
Nov ’24CN¥6.33
CN¥9.32
+47.2%
7.7%CN¥10.46CN¥8.46CN¥12.174
Oct ’24CN¥7.18
CN¥9.32
+29.8%
7.7%CN¥10.46CN¥8.46CN¥12.504
Sep ’24CN¥7.34
CN¥8.83
+20.3%
16.3%CN¥10.46CN¥6.51CN¥9.584
Aug ’24CN¥8.07
CN¥7.39
-8.4%
25.7%CN¥9.20CN¥4.70CN¥9.844
Jul ’24CN¥7.90
CN¥7.39
-6.4%
25.7%CN¥9.20CN¥4.70CN¥11.324
Jun ’24CN¥7.33
CN¥7.39
+0.8%
25.7%CN¥9.20CN¥4.70CN¥10.284
May ’24CN¥7.62
CN¥6.54
-14.2%
23.1%CN¥8.40CN¥4.70CN¥10.543
Apr ’24CN¥6.77
CN¥6.54
-3.4%
23.1%CN¥8.40CN¥4.70CN¥8.593
Mar ’24CN¥6.73
CN¥6.54
-2.9%
23.1%CN¥8.40CN¥4.70CN¥7.853
Feb ’24CN¥6.22
CN¥6.54
+5.1%
23.1%CN¥8.40CN¥4.70CN¥6.963
Jan ’24CN¥5.88
CN¥6.54
+11.2%
23.1%CN¥8.40CN¥4.70CN¥6.743
Dec ’23CN¥6.24
CN¥6.54
+4.8%
23.1%CN¥8.40CN¥4.70CN¥6.323
Nov ’23CN¥5.97
CN¥6.54
+9.5%
23.1%CN¥8.40CN¥4.70CN¥6.333

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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