Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology (SZSE:301268) Is Using Debt Extensively

SZSE:301268
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301268) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology

How Much Debt Does Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology had CN¥1.79b of debt, up from CN¥868.8m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥1.36b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥427.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:301268 Debt to Equity History October 23rd 2024

A Look At Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology had liabilities of CN¥1.94b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.31b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.36b as well as receivables valued at CN¥780.4m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥1.11b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥7.30b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 1.8, its interest cover seems weak, at 1.5. The main reason for this is that it has such high depreciation and amortisation. These charges may be non-cash, so they could be excluded when it comes to paying down debt. But the accounting charges are there for a reason -- some assets are seen to be losing value. In any case, it's safe to say the company has meaningful debt. Shareholders should be aware that Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology's EBIT was down 83% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. Having said that, its ability to handle its total liabilities isn't such a worry. We're quite clear that we consider Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Shenzhen Minglida Precision Technology (including 1 which is significant) .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.