Stock Analysis

We Think That There Are More Issues For Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing (SZSE:301151) Than Just Sluggish Earnings

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SZSE:301151

Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301151) stock wasn't much affected by its recent lackluster earnings numbers. We did some analysis and found some concerning details beneath the statutory profit number.

See our latest analysis for Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing

SZSE:301151 Earnings and Revenue History September 5th 2024

Zooming In On Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

For the year to June 2024, Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing had an accrual ratio of 0.67. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥79.8m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥542m in the last year. We also note that Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥542m. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥8.7m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

Our Take On Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing's Profit Performance

Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Shanghai Karon Eco-Valve Manufacturing (3 shouldn't be ignored) you should be familiar with.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.