ActBlue Valuation

Is 300816 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 300816 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 300816 (CN¥23.71) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥2.37)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 300816 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 300816?

Key metric: As 300816 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 300816. This is calculated by dividing 300816's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 300816's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio40.4x
EarningsCN¥46.22m
Market CapCN¥1.85b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 300816's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 300816 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average35.5x
300923 Yeal Electric
37.8xn/aCN¥1.7b
688420 Tianjin Meiteng Technology
27.2xn/aCN¥2.0b
300960 Shenzhen Tongye TechnologyLtd
45.3xn/aCN¥2.3b
300837 Zhe Kuang Heavy IndustryLtd
31.9xn/aCN¥2.1b
300816 ActBlue
40.4x48.8%CN¥1.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 300816 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.4x) compared to the peer average (35.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 300816's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Machinery Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
002021 Zoje Resources Investment
4.6xn/aUS$397.65m
No more companies available in this PE range
300816 40.4xIndustry Avg. 34.7xNo. of Companies53PE020406080100+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 300816 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.4x) compared to the CN Machinery industry average (34.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 300816's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

300816 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio40.4x
Fair PE Ratio35.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 300816 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (40.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 300816 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥23.71
CN¥27.64
+16.6%
15.8%CN¥32.00CN¥23.28n/a2
Nov ’25CN¥22.66
CN¥27.64
+22.0%
15.8%CN¥32.00CN¥23.28n/a2
Oct ’25CN¥22.72
CN¥27.64
+21.7%
15.8%CN¥32.00CN¥23.28n/a2
Sep ’25CN¥19.38
CN¥27.64
+42.6%
15.8%CN¥32.00CN¥23.28n/a2
Aug ’25CN¥19.06
CN¥29.55
+55.0%
8.3%CN¥32.00CN¥27.09n/a2
Jul ’25CN¥23.52
CN¥29.55
+25.6%
8.3%CN¥32.00CN¥27.09n/a2
Dec ’24CN¥25.83
CN¥31.83
+23.2%
0.5%CN¥32.00CN¥31.65n/a2
Nov ’24CN¥25.28
CN¥31.83
+25.9%
0.5%CN¥32.00CN¥31.65CN¥22.662
Oct ’24CN¥25.77
CN¥31.83
+23.5%
0.5%CN¥32.00CN¥31.65CN¥22.722
Sep ’24CN¥26.74
CN¥31.83
+19.0%
0.5%CN¥32.00CN¥31.65CN¥19.382
Aug ’24CN¥26.12
CN¥34.43
+31.8%
7.0%CN¥36.85CN¥32.00CN¥19.062
Jul ’24CN¥29.53
CN¥34.43
+16.6%
7.0%CN¥36.85CN¥32.00CN¥23.522
Jun ’24CN¥27.77
CN¥34.43
+24.0%
7.0%CN¥36.85CN¥32.00CN¥24.602
May ’24CN¥25.30
CN¥35.93
+42.0%
2.6%CN¥36.85CN¥35.00CN¥21.502
Apr ’24CN¥32.99
CN¥32.35
-1.9%
8.2%CN¥35.00CN¥29.70CN¥20.712
Mar ’24CN¥31.88
CN¥32.35
+1.5%
8.2%CN¥35.00CN¥29.70CN¥18.342
Feb ’24CN¥28.42
CN¥29.35
+3.3%
1.2%CN¥29.70CN¥29.00CN¥18.912
Jan ’24CN¥24.40
CN¥29.35
+20.3%
1.2%CN¥29.70CN¥29.00CN¥24.672
Dec ’23CN¥29.00
CN¥29.35
+1.2%
1.2%CN¥29.70CN¥29.00CN¥25.832
Nov ’23CN¥22.05
CN¥34.85
+58.0%
14.8%CN¥40.00CN¥29.70CN¥25.282

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies