Stock Analysis

Fujian Nebula Electronics Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300648) 26% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/SRatio

SZSE:300648
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Fujian Nebula Electronics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300648) shares have retraced a considerable 26% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 39% in that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Electrical industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.2x, you may still consider Fujian Nebula Electronics as a stock probably not worth researching with its 3x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Check out our latest analysis for Fujian Nebula Electronics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300648 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 2nd 2024

What Does Fujian Nebula Electronics' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Fujian Nebula Electronics over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Fujian Nebula Electronics, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Fujian Nebula Electronics' Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Fujian Nebula Electronics' to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 29%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 51% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 27% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it concerning that Fujian Nebula Electronics is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Fujian Nebula Electronics' P/S

There's still some elevation in Fujian Nebula Electronics' P/S, even if the same can't be said for its share price recently. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

The fact that Fujian Nebula Electronics currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Fujian Nebula Electronics that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.