Longhua Technology GroupLtd (SZSE:300263) Stock Valuation, Peer Comparison & Price Targets

Q: What is the Fair Price of 300263 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

300263 (CN¥7.62) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (CN¥0.81)

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 300263 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 300263 (CN¥7.62) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥0.81)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 300263 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 300263?

Key metric: As 300263 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 300263. This is calculated by dividing 300263's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 300263's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	65x
Earnings	CN¥104.38m
Market Cap	CN¥6.79b

300263 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	3.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	26.8x
PEG Ratio	1.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 300263's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 300263 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	38.5x
300145 Nanfang Zhongjin Environment	27.7x	31.6%	CN¥6.5b
603203 Quick Intelligent EquipmentLtd	31x	35.6%	CN¥6.1b
002438 Jiangsu Shentong Valve	24.2x	21.1%	CN¥7.1b
603960 Shanghai Kelai Mechatronics EngineeringLtd	71.2x	29.1%	CN¥5.9b
300263 Longhua Technology GroupLtd	65x	43.8%	CN¥6.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 300263 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (65x) compared to the peer average (38.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 300263's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Machinery Industry?

1 Company	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
002021 Zoje Resources Investment	5x	n/a	US$428.42m

No more companies available in this PE range

1 Company		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 300263 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (65x) compared to the CN Machinery industry average (35.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 300263's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

300263 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	65x
Fair PE Ratio	35.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 300263 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (65x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 300263 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	CN¥7.62	CN¥8.57 +12.5%	0.2%	CN¥8.59	CN¥8.55	n/a	2
Nov ’25	CN¥6.82	CN¥8.57 +25.7%	0.2%	CN¥8.59	CN¥8.55	n/a	2
Oct ’25	CN¥6.81	CN¥7.98 +17.1%	7.2%	CN¥8.55	CN¥7.40	n/a	2
Sep ’25	CN¥5.53	CN¥7.98 +44.2%	7.2%	CN¥8.55	CN¥7.40	n/a	2
Aug ’25	CN¥5.59	CN¥8.02 +43.5%	14.7%	CN¥9.20	CN¥6.84	n/a	2
Jul ’25	CN¥5.62	CN¥8.02 +42.7%	14.7%	CN¥9.20	CN¥6.84	n/a	2
Jun ’25	CN¥6.34	CN¥8.02 +26.5%	14.7%	CN¥9.20	CN¥6.84	n/a	2
May ’25	CN¥6.20	CN¥8.02 +29.4%	14.7%	CN¥9.20	CN¥6.84	n/a	2
Apr ’25	CN¥6.58	CN¥9.29 +41.1%	7.7%	CN¥10.00	CN¥8.57	n/a	2
Mar ’25	CN¥6.18	CN¥9.29 +50.2%	7.7%	CN¥10.00	CN¥8.57	n/a	2
Feb ’25	CN¥5.56	CN¥9.29 +67.0%	7.7%	CN¥10.00	CN¥8.57	n/a	2
Jan ’25	CN¥7.04	CN¥9.29 +31.9%	7.7%	CN¥10.00	CN¥8.57	n/a	2
Dec ’24	CN¥7.22	CN¥9.29 +28.6%	7.7%	CN¥10.00	CN¥8.57	n/a	2
Nov ’24	CN¥7.25	CN¥9.83 +35.6%	9.8%	CN¥10.92	CN¥8.57	CN¥6.82	3
Oct ’24	CN¥7.54	CN¥9.79 +29.8%	10.5%	CN¥10.92	CN¥8.44	CN¥6.81	3
Sep ’24	CN¥7.55	CN¥10.12 +34.0%	11.7%	CN¥11.00	CN¥8.44	CN¥5.53	3
Aug ’24	CN¥7.88	CN¥10.41 +32.1%	7.5%	CN¥11.00	CN¥9.31	CN¥5.59	3
Jul ’24	CN¥8.32	CN¥10.41 +25.1%	7.5%	CN¥11.00	CN¥9.31	CN¥5.62	3
Jun ’24	CN¥8.31	CN¥10.41 +25.3%	7.5%	CN¥11.00	CN¥9.31	CN¥6.34	3
May ’24	CN¥7.96	CN¥10.41 +30.8%	7.5%	CN¥11.00	CN¥9.31	CN¥6.20	3

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Longhua Technology GroupLtd Valuation