Stock Analysis

There's No Escaping Shanghai YongLi Belting Co., Ltd's (SZSE:300230) Muted Earnings Despite A 48% Share Price Rise

SZSE:300230
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Shanghai YongLi Belting Co., Ltd (SZSE:300230) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 48% share price jump in the last month. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 22% is also fairly reasonable.

Even after such a large jump in price, Shanghai YongLi Belting's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.1x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 34x and even P/E's above 64x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

Shanghai YongLi Belting certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for Shanghai YongLi Belting

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300230 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 8th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shanghai YongLi Belting's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Shanghai YongLi Belting's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Shanghai YongLi Belting would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 49% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 37% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's understandable that Shanghai YongLi Belting's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Shanghai YongLi Belting's P/E?

Shanghai YongLi Belting's recent share price jump still sees its P/E sitting firmly flat on the ground. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Shanghai YongLi Belting maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Shanghai YongLi Belting that you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Shanghai YongLi Belting. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.