Stock Analysis

Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:003021) Stock is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

SZSE:003021
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Most readers would already be aware that Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics' (SZSE:003021) stock increased significantly by 12% over the past week. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. In this article, we decided to focus on Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics' ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

View our latest analysis for Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics is:

6.6% = CN¥207m ÷ CN¥3.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.07 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics' Earnings Growth And 6.6% ROE

On the face of it, Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics' ROE is not much to talk about. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 6.9%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. Having said that, Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics' five year net income decline rate was 19%. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. So that's what might be causing earnings growth to shrink.

So, as a next step, we compared Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics' performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 12% over the last few years.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:003021 Past Earnings Growth August 1st 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 29% (where it is retaining 71% of its profits), Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

In addition, Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics has been paying dividends over a period of three years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline.

Conclusion

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Shenzhen Zhaowei Machinery & Electronics. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.