There's Reason For Concern Over Yuhuan CNC Machine Tool Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:002903) Price
When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 28x, you may consider Yuhuan CNC Machine Tool Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002903) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 68.2x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
For example, consider that Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Does Growth Match The High P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 46%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 20% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 41% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 5 warning signs for Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd (2 are significant!) that you need to be mindful of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002903
Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd
Researches, develops, produces, sells, and services CNC grinding and intelligent equipment in China and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet low.