D&O Home Collection Group Co.,LTD (SZSE:002798) Looks Inexpensive After Falling 26% But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough
The D&O Home Collection Group Co.,LTD (SZSE:002798) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 49% in that time.
Since its price has dipped substantially, given about half the companies operating in China's Building industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.5x, you may consider D&O Home Collection GroupLTD as an attractive investment with its 0.3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for D&O Home Collection GroupLTD
How Has D&O Home Collection GroupLTD Performed Recently?
For example, consider that D&O Home Collection GroupLTD's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on D&O Home Collection GroupLTD's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
D&O Home Collection GroupLTD's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 6.1%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 38% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 24% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's understandable that D&O Home Collection GroupLTD's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.
What Does D&O Home Collection GroupLTD's P/S Mean For Investors?
D&O Home Collection GroupLTD's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Building companies. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of D&O Home Collection GroupLTD revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for D&O Home Collection GroupLTD (1 is significant!) that we have uncovered.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SZSE:002798
D&O Home Collection GroupLTD
Produces and sells sanitary ware and architectural ceramic products in China.
Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.