Qingdao Victall Railway Co., Ltd. (SHSE:605001) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 32%
Qingdao Victall Railway Co., Ltd. (SHSE:605001) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 32% gain in the last month alone. Looking further back, the 22% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
Although its price has surged higher, Qingdao Victall Railway may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.3x, considering almost half of all companies in the Machinery industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 3.3x and even P/S higher than 6x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for Qingdao Victall Railway
What Does Qingdao Victall Railway's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Qingdao Victall Railway has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think this respectable revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Qingdao Victall Railway, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Qingdao Victall Railway's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Qingdao Victall Railway's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 25%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 57% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 22% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why Qingdao Victall Railway's P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What Does Qingdao Victall Railway's P/S Mean For Investors?
Qingdao Victall Railway's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
In line with expectations, Qingdao Victall Railway maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Qingdao Victall Railway that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Qingdao Victall Railway's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:605001
Qingdao Victall Railway
Engages in the research, development, production, sale, and service of supporting products for rail transit vehicles in China and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.