Stock Analysis

Some Shanghai Tianyong Engineering Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603895) Shareholders Look For Exit As Shares Take 26% Pounding

SHSE:603895
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The Shanghai Tianyong Engineering Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603895) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 24% in that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.7x, you may still consider Shanghai Tianyong Engineering as a stock probably not worth researching with its 3.5x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai Tianyong Engineering

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603895 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 27th 2024

What Does Shanghai Tianyong Engineering's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

The revenue growth achieved at Shanghai Tianyong Engineering over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shanghai Tianyong Engineering, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shanghai Tianyong Engineering?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Shanghai Tianyong Engineering's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 8.2% gain to the company's revenues. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 43% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 28% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shanghai Tianyong Engineering is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Shanghai Tianyong Engineering's P/S

Despite the recent share price weakness, Shanghai Tianyong Engineering's P/S remains higher than most other companies in the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Shanghai Tianyong Engineering revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Shanghai Tianyong Engineering (1 is significant) you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Shanghai Tianyong Engineering's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Shanghai Tianyong Engineering is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.