Stock Analysis
Neway Valve (Suzhou)'s (SHSE:603699) three-year total shareholder returns outpace the underlying earnings growth
The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But if you buy shares in a really great company, you can more than double your money. For example, the Neway Valve (Suzhou) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603699) share price has soared 135% in the last three years. That sort of return is as solid as granite. On top of that, the share price is up 15% in about a quarter.
Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 4.6%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Neway Valve (Suzhou)
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
Neway Valve (Suzhou) was able to grow its EPS at 32% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. Notably, the 33% average annual share price gain matches up nicely with the EPS growth rate. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. Quite to the contrary, the share price has arguably reflected the EPS growth.
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
We know that Neway Valve (Suzhou) has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? This free interactive report on Neway Valve (Suzhou)'s balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Neway Valve (Suzhou)'s TSR for the last 3 years was 161%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
We're pleased to report that Neway Valve (Suzhou) shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 100% over one year. That's including the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 20%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Neway Valve (Suzhou) is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603699
Neway Valve (Suzhou)
Researches, develops, produces, and sells industrial valves in the People’s Republic of China and internationally.