The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Hongfa Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600885) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Hongfa Technology
How Much Debt Does Hongfa Technology Carry?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Hongfa Technology had CN¥2.94b in debt in June 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it does have CN¥2.89b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥51.4m.
How Healthy Is Hongfa Technology's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hongfa Technology had liabilities of CN¥4.56b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥2.80b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.89b and CN¥5.88b worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥1.41b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus suggests that Hongfa Technology has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. But either way, Hongfa Technology has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
With debt at a measly 0.017 times EBITDA and EBIT covering interest a whopping 23.8 times, it's clear that Hongfa Technology is not a desperate borrower. So relative to past earnings, the debt load seems trivial. The good news is that Hongfa Technology has increased its EBIT by 5.7% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Hongfa Technology's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, Hongfa Technology's free cash flow amounted to 37% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
Happily, Hongfa Technology's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Hongfa Technology is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Hongfa Technology that you should be aware of before investing here.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600885
Hongfa Technology
Manufactures and supplies relays, medium and low voltage electrical appliances, high and low voltage complete equipment, connectors, capacitors, precision parts, and automation equipment worldwide.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.