Stock Analysis

Improved Revenues Required Before Aerospace Hi-Tech Holding Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000901) Stock's 25% Jump Looks Justified

SZSE:000901
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Aerospace Hi-Tech Holding Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000901) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 25% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 24% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, when close to half the companies operating in China's Auto Components industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 2.3x, you may still consider Aerospace Hi-Tech Holding Group as an enticing stock to check out with its 1x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Aerospace Hi-Tech Holding Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000901 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 7th 2024

What Does Aerospace Hi-Tech Holding Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

The revenue growth achieved at Aerospace Hi-Tech Holding Group over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Aerospace Hi-Tech Holding Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Aerospace Hi-Tech Holding Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 7.8% last year. The latest three year period has also seen a 13% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 25% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we can see why Aerospace Hi-Tech Holding Group is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

The Key Takeaway

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Aerospace Hi-Tech Holding Group's P/S close to the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

In line with expectations, Aerospace Hi-Tech Holding Group maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider industry forecast. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Aerospace Hi-Tech Holding Group (at least 1 which is a bit concerning), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Aerospace Hi-Tech Holding Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.