Stock Analysis

Here's Why Ningbo Jifeng Auto Parts (SHSE:603997) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

SHSE:603997
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Ningbo Jifeng Auto Parts Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603997) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Ningbo Jifeng Auto Parts

What Is Ningbo Jifeng Auto Parts's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Ningbo Jifeng Auto Parts had CN¥5.25b of debt at September 2023, down from CN¥5.51b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥1.04b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥4.21b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:603997 Debt to Equity History March 21st 2024

How Healthy Is Ningbo Jifeng Auto Parts' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Ningbo Jifeng Auto Parts had liabilities of CN¥8.62b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥3.84b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.04b and CN¥4.51b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥6.91b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Ningbo Jifeng Auto Parts is worth CN¥16.0b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While we wouldn't worry about Ningbo Jifeng Auto Parts's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.4, we think its super-low interest cover of 1.9 times is a sign of high leverage. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. However, it should be some comfort for shareholders to recall that Ningbo Jifeng Auto Parts actually grew its EBIT by a hefty 696%, over the last 12 months. If that earnings trend continues it will make its debt load much more manageable in the future. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Ningbo Jifeng Auto Parts's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Ningbo Jifeng Auto Parts recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 93% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Our View

Ningbo Jifeng Auto Parts's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its interest cover. All these things considered, it appears that Ningbo Jifeng Auto Parts can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Ningbo Jifeng Auto Parts you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Ningbo Jifeng Auto Parts is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.