Stock Analysis

Shanghai Lianming Machinery's (SHSE:603006) Dividend Is Being Reduced To CN¥0.28

SHSE:603006
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Shanghai Lianming Machinery Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603006) is reducing its dividend from last year's comparable payment to CN¥0.28 on the 4th of June. The yield is still above the industry average at 2.6%.

View our latest analysis for Shanghai Lianming Machinery

Shanghai Lianming Machinery Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Prior to this announcement, Shanghai Lianming Machinery's dividend made up quite a large proportion of earnings but only 48% of free cash flows. This leaves plenty of cash for reinvestment into the business.

If the company can't turn things around, EPS could fall by 10.0% over the next year. If the dividend continues along the path it has been on recently, the payout ratio in 12 months could be 96%, which is definitely a bit high to be sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
SHSE:603006 Historic Dividend May 30th 2024

Shanghai Lianming Machinery's Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Looking back, Shanghai Lianming Machinery's dividend hasn't been particularly consistent. This makes us cautious about the consistency of the dividend over a full economic cycle. Since 2015, the dividend has gone from CN¥0.10 total annually to CN¥0.28. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 12% per annum over that time. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.

The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Over the past five years, it looks as though Shanghai Lianming Machinery's EPS has declined at around 10% a year. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough.

Our Thoughts On Shanghai Lianming Machinery's Dividend

In summary, dividends being cut isn't ideal, however it can bring the payment into a more sustainable range. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We don't think Shanghai Lianming Machinery is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Shanghai Lianming Machinery (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about. Is Shanghai Lianming Machinery not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.