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Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On IKD Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600933) Even After 26% Share Price Boost
IKD Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600933) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 37% over that time.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, IKD may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15.7x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 30x and even P/E's higher than 58x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
IKD certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Check out our latest analysis for IKD
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on IKD will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, IKD would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 13% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 77% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 18% per year over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 19% growth per year, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.
With this information, we find it odd that IKD is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
What We Can Learn From IKD's P/E?
Despite IKD's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that IKD currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for IKD you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on IKD, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600933
IKD
Researches, develops, produces, and sells automotive aluminum alloy precision die castings in the United States, Europe, and Asia.
Very undervalued with solid track record.