Stock Analysis

Parque Arauco (SNSE:PARAUCO) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

SNSE:PARAUCO
Source: Shutterstock

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Parque Arauco S.A. (SNSE:PARAUCO) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Parque Arauco

What Is Parque Arauco's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Parque Arauco had CL$1.15t in debt in June 2022; about the same as the year before. However, it also had CL$266.5b in cash, and so its net debt is CL$880.4b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SNSE:PARAUCO Debt to Equity History August 11th 2022

How Strong Is Parque Arauco's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Parque Arauco had liabilities of CL$160.2b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CL$1.40t due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CL$266.5b in cash and CL$50.4b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CL$1.24t more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CL$716.8b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Parque Arauco would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Parque Arauco has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.0 which suggests a meaningful debt load. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 5.8 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. Notably, Parque Arauco's EBIT launched higher than Elon Musk, gaining a whopping 153% on last year. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Parque Arauco can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Parque Arauco recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 100% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Our View

While Parque Arauco's level of total liabilities has us nervous. To wit both its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and EBIT growth rate were encouraging signs. We think that Parque Arauco's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Parque Arauco is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is potentially serious...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SNSE:PARAUCO

Parque Arauco

Develops, owns, operates, and manages multi-format real estate assets in Chile, Peru, and Colombia.

Mediocre balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.

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