Plaza S.A.'s (SNSE:MALLPLAZA) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.4x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in Chile, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 9x and even P/E's below 6x are quite common. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
There hasn't been much to differentiate Plaza's and the market's earnings growth lately. It might be that many expect the mediocre earnings performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/E from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Plaza
Keen to find out how analysts think Plaza's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is Plaza's Growth Trending?
Plaza's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 6.4% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 589% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 3.7% over the next year. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 11%.
In light of this, it's alarming that Plaza's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining earnings are likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Plaza's P/E
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Plaza currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E for a company whose earnings are forecast to decline. When we see a poor outlook with earnings heading backwards, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Plaza that you need to take into consideration.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SNSE:MALLPLAZA
Plaza
Develops, builds, administers, manages, exploits, leases, and sublets premises and spaces in shopping centers.
Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.