Empresas CMPC Valuation

Is CMPC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CMPC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CMPC (CLP1524) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CLP1988.55)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CMPC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CMPC?

Key metric: As CMPC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CMPC. This is calculated by dividing CMPC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CMPC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.5x
EarningsUS$515.58m
Market CapUS$3.89b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CMPC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CMPC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average34.8x
ENAEX Enaex
11.1xn/aCL$1.8t
500040 Aditya Birla Real Estate
102.7x40.8%₹284.5b
3861 Oji Holdings
12.5x14.8%JP¥545.4b
SLVM Sylvamo
13x4.7%US$3.5b
CMPC Empresas CMPC
7.5x9.3%CL$3.8t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CMPC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x) compared to the peer average (34.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CMPC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Forestry Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CMPC 7.5xIndustry Avg. 15.3xNo. of Companies32PE01632486480+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CMPC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x) compared to the Global Forestry industry average (15.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CMPC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CMPC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CMPC's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CMPC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCL$1,524.00
CL$2,153.78
+41.3%
16.9%CL$2,783.84CL$1,649.14n/a11
Nov ’25CL$1,531.00
CL$2,137.50
+39.6%
17.5%CL$2,847.88CL$1,694.31n/a11
Oct ’25CL$1,520.10
CL$2,073.27
+36.4%
18.1%CL$2,717.08CL$1,603.67n/a11
Sep ’25CL$1,578.00
CL$2,145.01
+35.9%
17.7%CL$2,765.46CL$1,590.19n/a11
Aug ’25CL$1,629.00
CL$2,261.02
+38.8%
17.3%CL$2,927.71CL$1,657.19n/a11
Jul ’25CL$1,732.00
CL$2,409.95
+39.1%
16.0%CL$3,058.19CL$1,911.72n/a10
Jun ’25CL$1,921.10
CL$2,203.10
+14.7%
17.6%CL$2,842.03CL$1,629.73n/a11
May ’25CL$1,896.00
CL$2,199.09
+16.0%
16.0%CL$2,786.33CL$1,669.50n/a11
Apr ’25CL$1,951.00
CL$2,205.81
+13.1%
16.4%CL$2,892.08CL$1,685.92n/a12
Mar ’25CL$1,707.00
CL$2,179.99
+27.7%
16.2%CL$2,834.82CL$1,652.54n/a12
Feb ’25CL$1,570.00
CL$2,122.56
+35.2%
17.5%CL$2,780.79CL$1,430.39n/a12
Jan ’25CL$1,700.00
CL$2,054.56
+20.9%
19.0%CL$2,779.24CL$1,301.76n/a12
Dec ’24CL$1,688.50
CL$1,980.46
+17.3%
18.0%CL$2,725.29CL$1,276.49n/a12
Nov ’24CL$1,600.00
CL$2,065.73
+29.1%
17.7%CL$2,756.26CL$1,387.45CL$1,531.0012
Oct ’24CL$1,636.10
CL$2,092.88
+27.9%
19.2%CL$2,907.21CL$1,654.19CL$1,520.1011
Sep ’24CL$1,560.00
CL$2,015.09
+29.2%
19.5%CL$2,805.71CL$1,599.00CL$1,578.0011
Aug ’24CL$1,739.40
CL$2,006.44
+15.4%
20.0%CL$2,903.86CL$1,610.31CL$1,629.0011
Jul ’24CL$1,534.00
CL$1,965.39
+28.1%
20.8%CL$2,803.18CL$1,546.47CL$1,732.0011
Jun ’24CL$1,414.00
CL$1,903.02
+34.6%
21.5%CL$2,792.05CL$1,415.13CL$1,921.1012
May ’24CL$1,265.00
CL$1,952.86
+54.4%
20.2%CL$2,802.37CL$1,569.32CL$1,896.0012
Apr ’24CL$1,328.40
CL$1,930.05
+45.3%
21.8%CL$2,737.16CL$1,364.61CL$1,951.0013
Mar ’24CL$1,373.80
CL$2,008.19
+46.2%
21.4%CL$2,782.04CL$1,373.06CL$1,707.0013
Feb ’24CL$1,348.00
CL$1,946.53
+44.4%
22.1%CL$2,741.13CL$1,352.87CL$1,570.0013
Jan ’24CL$1,415.90
CL$2,084.75
+47.2%
19.6%CL$3,001.31CL$1,502.40CL$1,700.0013
Dec ’23CL$1,461.10
CL$2,042.59
+39.8%
16.5%CL$2,684.57CL$1,512.93CL$1,688.5013
Nov ’23CL$1,497.00
CL$2,262.54
+51.1%
17.2%CL$2,994.79CL$1,697.21CL$1,600.0012

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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