Morgan Stanley Valuation

Is MSCL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MSCL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MSCL (CLP79100) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CLP57924.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MSCL is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MSCL?

Key metric: As MSCL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MSCL. This is calculated by dividing MSCL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MSCL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18.7x
EarningsUS$10.62b
Market CapUS$198.87b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MSCL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MSCL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.9x
GS Goldman Sachs Group
16.3x10.8%US$186.4b
SCHW Charles Schwab
29x19.4%US$136.0b
600030 CITIC Securities
23x14.9%CN¥423.1b
IBKR Interactive Brokers Group
27.4x3.4%US$74.3b
MSCL Morgan Stanley
18.7x9.1%CL$198.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MSCL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x) compared to the peer average (23.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MSCL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the South American Capital Markets Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MSCL 18.7xIndustry Avg. 9.5xNo. of Companies9PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MSCL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x) compared to the South American Capital Markets industry average (9.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MSCL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MSCL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MSCL's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MSCL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCL$79,100.00
CL$126,303.47
+59.7%
10.0%CL$143,426.75CL$102,871.60n/a18
Dec ’25CL$79,100.00
CL$121,963.09
+54.2%
10.1%CL$138,719.80CL$97,690.00n/a17
Nov ’25CL$79,100.00
CL$112,168.48
+41.8%
10.5%CL$129,585.15CL$93,109.33n/a18
Oct ’25CL$79,100.00
CL$95,496.73
+20.7%
8.0%CL$109,411.83CL$82,284.93n/a18
Sep ’25CL$79,100.00
CL$96,212.86
+21.6%
8.9%CL$110,938.26CL$82,749.03n/a19
Aug ’25CL$79,100.00
CL$100,866.57
+27.5%
9.2%CL$116,194.02CL$86,669.31n/a18
Jul ’25CL$79,100.00
CL$94,111.93
+19.0%
8.4%CL$111,619.74CL$84,187.77n/a21
Jun ’25CL$79,100.00
CL$88,365.79
+11.7%
8.3%CL$104,754.50CL$79,009.75n/a21
May ’25CL$79,100.00
CL$95,046.52
+20.2%
8.8%CL$113,324.84CL$84,513.44n/a21
Apr ’25CL$79,100.00
CL$93,721.21
+18.5%
8.7%CL$114,248.40CL$81,746.70n/a21
Mar ’25CL$79,100.00
CL$92,254.30
+16.6%
9.3%CL$112,596.56CL$81,438.37n/a21
Feb ’25CL$79,100.00
CL$88,419.66
+11.8%
9.6%CL$108,187.40CL$74,612.00n/a21
Jan ’25CL$79,100.00
CL$81,605.28
+3.2%
8.9%CL$95,363.75CL$71,300.00n/a22
Dec ’24CL$79,100.00
CL$77,657.07
-1.8%
9.6%CL$91,449.75CL$64,101.92CL$79,100.0022
Nov ’24CL$79,100.00
CL$85,251.38
+7.8%
9.6%CL$102,712.50CL$68,724.00CL$79,100.0022
Oct ’24CL$79,100.00
CL$88,571.74
+12.0%
8.8%CL$101,404.80CL$72,432.00CL$79,100.0023
Sep ’24CL$79,100.00
CL$83,789.21
+5.9%
9.0%CL$95,642.40CL$68,316.00CL$79,100.0023
Aug ’24CL$79,100.00
CL$82,844.79
+4.7%
9.3%CL$94,147.20CL$67,248.00CL$79,100.0023
Jul ’24CL$79,100.00
CL$77,545.44
-2.0%
10.6%CL$90,265.28CL$64,475.20CL$79,100.0023
Jun ’24CL$79,100.00
CL$78,810.12
-0.4%
10.2%CL$90,591.20CL$64,708.00CL$79,100.0023
May ’24CL$79,100.00
CL$79,965.15
+1.1%
9.4%CL$91,098.56CL$65,070.40CL$79,100.0023
Apr ’24CL$79,100.00
CL$82,847.19
+4.7%
10.6%CL$101,312.50CL$64,840.00CL$79,100.0023
Mar ’24CL$79,100.00
CL$82,997.99
+4.9%
9.7%CL$100,938.75CL$67,830.84CL$79,100.0023
Feb ’24CL$79,100.00
CL$81,058.43
+2.5%
9.5%CL$99,520.00CL$66,877.44CL$79,100.0023
Jan ’24CL$79,100.00
CL$81,167.19
+2.6%
8.4%CL$99,158.75CL$68,307.45CL$79,100.0024
Dec ’23CL$79,100.00
CL$82,434.85
+4.2%
8.4%CL$101,155.15CL$69,682.70CL$79,100.0024

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 17:49
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Morgan Stanley is covered by 50 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Stephen BiggarArgus Research Company
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Jason GoldbergBarclays