Naturgy Energy Group, S.A.

BRSE:GAN Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 20.8b

Naturgy Energy Group Valuation

Is GAN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GAN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GAN (CHF21.92) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF41.5)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GAN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GAN?

Key metric: As GAN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GAN. This is calculated by dividing GAN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GAN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.1x
Earnings€2.01b
Market Cap€22.17b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GAN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GAN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.6x
BKW BKW
15.5x4.4%CHF 7.8b
ATO Atmos Energy
20.3x11.1%US$22.0b
3 Hong Kong and China Gas
20.7x8.9%HK$114.9b
SRG Snam
13.8x4.7%€14.3b
GAN Naturgy Energy Group
11.1x-4.6%CHF 22.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GAN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x) compared to the peer average (17.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GAN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Gas Utilities Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GAN 11.1xIndustry Avg. 14.5xNo. of Companies15PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GAN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x) compared to the Global Gas Utilities industry average (14.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GAN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GAN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate GAN's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GAN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
CHF 22.52
0%
5.6%CHF 25.06CHF 19.49n/a16
Dec ’25n/a
CHF 22.47
0%
5.6%CHF 25.11CHF 19.53n/a16
Nov ’25n/a
CHF 22.80
0%
5.6%CHF 25.47CHF 19.81n/a16
Oct ’25n/a
CHF 22.77
0%
5.2%CHF 24.97CHF 19.79n/a17
Sep ’25n/a
CHF 22.46
0%
5.4%CHF 24.69CHF 19.57n/a16
Aug ’25n/a
CHF 23.14
0%
5.5%CHF 25.43CHF 20.16n/a15
Jul ’25n/a
CHF 23.07
0%
7.4%CHF 26.53CHF 20.04n/a15
Jun ’25n/a
CHF 23.70
0%
6.7%CHF 27.59CHF 20.84n/a15
May ’25n/a
CHF 23.31
0%
6.7%CHF 27.18CHF 20.53n/a15
Apr ’25n/a
CHF 22.86
0%
10.8%CHF 27.01CHF 15.54n/a16
Mar ’25n/a
CHF 22.40
0%
10.8%CHF 26.47CHF 15.23n/a16
Feb ’25n/a
CHF 22.51
0%
11.0%CHF 25.97CHF 14.95n/a17
Jan ’25n/a
CHF 22.96
0%
11.1%CHF 26.26CHF 15.11n/a17
Dec ’24n/a
CHF 23.36
0%
11.1%CHF 26.79CHF 15.42n/a17
Nov ’24n/a
CHF 22.98
0%
11.1%CHF 26.34CHF 15.16n/a17
Oct ’24n/a
CHF 23.51
0%
11.4%CHF 27.38CHF 15.48n/a17
Sep ’24n/a
CHF 23.51
0%
11.9%CHF 27.19CHF 15.37n/a17
Aug ’24n/a
CHF 23.38
0%
11.9%CHF 27.00CHF 15.27n/a17
Jul ’24n/a
CHF 23.61
0%
11.8%CHF 28.92CHF 15.63n/a17
Jun ’24n/a
CHF 23.24
0%
12.1%CHF 28.67CHF 15.50n/a17
May ’24n/a
CHF 23.44
0%
12.3%CHF 28.99CHF 15.67n/a16
Apr ’24n/a
CHF 23.80
0%
12.3%CHF 29.51CHF 15.95n/a16
Mar ’24n/a
CHF 23.64
0%
12.1%CHF 29.39CHF 15.89n/a16
Feb ’24n/a
CHF 23.23
0%
12.3%CHF 29.67CHF 16.04n/a15
Jan ’24n/a
CHF 22.74
0%
12.5%CHF 29.15CHF 15.76n/a15
Dec ’23n/a
CHF 22.38
0%
12.2%CHF 29.07CHF 15.71n/a16

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 07:09
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/03 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Naturgy Energy Group, S.A. is covered by 44 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Flora Mericia TrindadeBanco BPI, S.A.
Alejandro Miranda FournierBanco de Madrid S.A.U.
null nullBanco de Sabadell. S.A.