Union Pacific Corporation

SWX:UNP Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 125.0b

Union Pacific Valuation

Is UNP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of UNP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: UNP (CHF214.18) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (CHF304.06)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: UNP is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UNP?

Key metric: As UNP is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for UNP. This is calculated by dividing UNP's market cap by their current earnings.
What is UNP's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22x
EarningsUS$7.21b
Market CapUS$154.34b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UNP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UNP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.4x
JFN Jungfraubahn Holding
18.8x2.99%CHF 1.5b
BVZN BVZ Holding
9.9xn/aCHF 317.6m
KNIN Kuehne + Nagel International
27.9x10.13%CHF 23.4b
CSX CSX
28.9x8.67%US$85.6b
UNP Union Pacific
22x6.94%CHF 154.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UNP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22x) compared to the peer average (21.4x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UNP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Transportation Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
UNP 22.0xIndustry Avg. 15.2xNo. of Companies7PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UNP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22x) compared to the European Transportation industry average (16.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UNP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UNP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22x
Fair PE Ratio35.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: UNP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UNP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 214.18
CHF 236.85
+10.59%
8.01%CHF 267.22CHF 193.53n/a22
Jun ’27CHF 205.12
CHF 227.14
+10.74%
8.06%CHF 257.55CHF 186.53n/a22
May ’27CHF 209.05
CHF 226.21
+8.21%
7.39%CHF 254.05CHF 186.82n/a23
Apr ’27CHF 192.53
CHF 216.23
+12.31%
7.90%CHF 247.16CHF 173.25n/a24
Mar ’27CHF 204.51
CHF 204.56
+0.024%
7.07%CHF 226.79CHF 166.06n/a24
Feb ’27CHF 178.63
CHF 204.30
+14.37%
6.92%CHF 224.94CHF 164.65n/a24
Jan ’27CHF 185.78
CHF 207.20
+11.53%
7.73%CHF 233.07CHF 169.43n/a25
Dec ’26CHF 184.00
CHF 209.42
+13.81%
7.80%CHF 235.82CHF 171.43n/a25
Nov ’26n/a
CHF 206.13
0%
8.07%CHF 233.22CHF 168.97n/a25
Oct ’26n/a
CHF 206.14
0%
8.18%CHF 234.32CHF 169.76n/a25
Sep ’26n/a
CHF 205.94
0%
8.41%CHF 235.67CHF 170.74n/a25
Aug ’26n/a
CHF 208.43
0%
8.22%CHF 232.31CHF 173.01n/a25
Jul ’26n/a
CHF 193.55
0%
7.57%CHF 213.94CHF 160.06n/a28
Jun ’26n/a
CHF 201.20
0%
7.35%CHF 221.26CHF 167.40CHF 205.1227
May ’26n/a
CHF 199.65
0%
7.32%CHF 224.03CHF 165.77CHF 209.0528
Apr ’26n/a
CHF 231.13
0%
8.43%CHF 260.75CHF 176.78CHF 192.5329
Mar ’26n/a
CHF 234.80
0%
8.37%CHF 260.17CHF 179.43CHF 204.5128
Feb ’26n/a
CHF 239.38
0%
6.89%CHF 263.17CHF 199.64CHF 178.6328
Jan ’26n/a
CHF 231.48
0%
7.05%CHF 255.94CHF 193.08CHF 185.7828
Dec ’25n/a
CHF 229.50
0%
6.59%CHF 252.58CHF 190.54CHF 184.0028
Nov ’25n/a
CHF 223.46
0%
6.26%CHF 245.52CHF 186.53n/a28
Oct ’25n/a
CHF 221.55
0%
6.89%CHF 246.25CHF 181.94n/a27
Sep ’25n/a
CHF 227.52
0%
6.59%CHF 244.61CHF 183.46n/a27
Aug ’25n/a
CHF 227.52
0%
6.59%CHF 244.61CHF 183.46n/a27
Jul ’25n/a
CHF 237.11
0%
7.29%CHF 260.65CHF 188.75n/a27
Jun ’25n/a
CHF 242.99
0%
7.01%CHF 264.92CHF 191.84n/a27
CHF 234
Fair Value
8.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
22
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/25 02:06
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/25 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Union Pacific Corporation is covered by 40 analysts. 21 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Will ChienAccountability Research Corporation
John EadeArgus Research Company
Daniel MooreBaird