American Airlines Group Inc.

SWX:A1G Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 5.7b

American Airlines Group Valuation

Is A1G undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of A1G when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
CHF 146.40
Fair Value
78.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
22
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: A1G (CHF31.36) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF146.4)

Significantly Below Fair Value: A1G is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for A1G?

Key metric: As A1G is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for A1G. This is calculated by dividing A1G's market cap by their current earnings.
What is A1G's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.1x
EarningsUS$685.00m
Market CapUS$6.94b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does A1G's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for A1G vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.2x
FHZN Flughafen Zürich
20x2.9%CHF 6.5b
ALK Alaska Air Group
16x41.1%US$5.8b
JFN Jungfraubahn Holding
14.9x0.7%CHF 1.1b
A003490 Korean AirlinesLtd
5.9x6.7%₩7.8t
A1G American Airlines Group
10.1x30.0%CHF 6.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: A1G is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.1x) compared to the peer average (14.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does A1G's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Airlines Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
A1G 10.1xIndustry Avg. 9.0xNo. of Companies8PE0612182430+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: A1G is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.1x) compared to the Global Airlines industry average (9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is A1G's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

A1G PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.1x
Fair PE Ratio35.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: A1G is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst A1G forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 31.36
CHF 10.86
-65.4%
25.5%CHF 16.59CHF 6.64n/a22
Apr ’26CHF 31.36
CHF 16.03
-48.9%
22.7%CHF 22.98CHF 10.61n/a22
Mar ’26CHF 31.36
CHF 19.08
-39.2%
20.3%CHF 27.08CHF 12.64n/a22
Feb ’26CHF 31.36
CHF 19.05
-39.2%
20.4%CHF 27.22CHF 12.70n/a22
Jan ’26CHF 31.36
CHF 16.04
-48.9%
23.8%CHF 21.69CHF 10.85n/a22
Dec ’25CHF 31.36
CHF 12.87
-59.0%
19.4%CHF 17.74CHF 8.87n/a20
Nov ’25CHF 31.36
CHF 11.81
-62.3%
21.0%CHF 17.27CHF 8.63n/a18
Oct ’25CHF 31.36
CHF 9.82
-68.7%
21.1%CHF 15.25CHF 5.93n/a18
Sep ’25CHF 31.36
CHF 10.00
-68.1%
20.5%CHF 15.30CHF 5.95n/a18
Aug ’25CHF 31.36
CHF 10.42
-66.8%
20.5%CHF 15.95CHF 6.20n/a18
Jul ’25CHF 31.36
CHF 13.38
-57.3%
18.8%CHF 18.78CHF 9.64n/a18
Jun ’25CHF 31.36
CHF 14.09
-55.1%
17.7%CHF 18.95CHF 9.92n/a17
May ’25CHF 31.36
CHF 16.12
-48.6%
18.0%CHF 22.06CHF 11.03CHF 31.3617
Apr ’25CHF 31.36
CHF 15.38
-51.0%
18.2%CHF 20.32CHF 10.60CHF 31.3618
Mar ’25CHF 31.36
CHF 15.16
-51.7%
19.6%CHF 20.29CHF 10.59CHF 31.3618
Feb ’25CHF 31.36
CHF 14.47
-53.9%
20.6%CHF 19.81CHF 10.34CHF 31.3618
Jan ’25CHF 31.36
CHF 12.51
-60.1%
23.1%CHF 17.51CHF 7.00CHF 31.3617
Dec ’24CHF 31.36
CHF 12.85
-59.0%
22.9%CHF 18.05CHF 7.22CHF 31.3617
Nov ’24CHF 31.36
CHF 13.19
-57.9%
21.8%CHF 17.86CHF 7.15CHF 31.3617
Oct ’24CHF 31.36
CHF 15.66
-50.1%
27.8%CHF 26.54CHF 8.24CHF 31.3616
Sep ’24CHF 31.36
CHF 15.86
-49.4%
24.4%CHF 25.46CHF 9.66CHF 31.3616
Aug ’24CHF 31.36
CHF 16.69
-46.8%
22.1%CHF 24.94CHF 9.46CHF 31.3617
Jul ’24CHF 31.36
CHF 16.30
-48.0%
25.9%CHF 25.97CHF 9.85CHF 31.3617
Jun ’24CHF 31.36
CHF 16.73
-46.7%
25.8%CHF 26.42CHF 8.65CHF 31.3617
May ’24CHF 31.36
CHF 15.85
-49.5%
23.9%CHF 23.30CHF 8.51CHF 31.3616
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 22 Analysts
CHF 39.03
Fair Value
19.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
22
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/04 03:12
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/02 00:00
Earnings2025/03/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

American Airlines Group Inc. is covered by 46 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John StaszakArgus Research Company
Lindsay BettiolAtlantic Equities LLP
Fred LowranceAvondale Partners