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China Mobile Valuation

Is CHT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CHT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CHT (CHF9) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF21.61)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CHT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CHT?

Key metric: As CHT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CHT. This is calculated by dividing CHT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CHT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.8x
EarningsCN¥135.79b
Market CapCN¥1.50t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CHT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CHT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33.5x
TMUS T-Mobile US
23.8x10.3%US$254.3b
SCMN Swisscom
15.5x0.1%CHF 26.1b
532454 Bharti Airtel
78.7x37.4%₹9.5t
9433 KDDI
15.9x6.4%JP¥9.8t
CHT China Mobile
10.8x2.8%CHF 1.6t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CHT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.8x) compared to the peer average (36.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CHT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Wireless Telecom Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CHT 10.8xIndustry Avg. 16.3xNo. of Companies9PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CHT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.8x) compared to the Global Wireless Telecom industry average (17.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CHT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CHT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CHT's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CHT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
CHF 9.87
0%
11.4%CHF 12.94CHF 8.29n/a16
Dec ’25n/a
CHF 9.87
0%
11.4%CHF 12.94CHF 8.29n/a16
Nov ’25n/a
CHF 9.87
0%
11.4%CHF 12.94CHF 8.29n/a16
Oct ’25n/a
CHF 9.87
0%
11.4%CHF 12.94CHF 8.29n/a16
Sep ’25n/a
CHF 9.87
0%
11.4%CHF 12.94CHF 8.29n/a16
Aug ’25CHF 9.00
CHF 9.72
+7.9%
11.1%CHF 12.82CHF 8.42n/a16
Jul ’25CHF 9.00
CHF 9.77
+8.5%
11.0%CHF 13.14CHF 8.63n/a17
Jun ’25CHF 9.00
CHF 9.81
+9.0%
11.1%CHF 13.25CHF 8.64n/a17
May ’25CHF 9.00
CHF 9.89
+9.9%
11.0%CHF 13.42CHF 8.75n/a18
Apr ’25CHF 9.00
CHF 9.78
+8.6%
10.8%CHF 13.15CHF 8.67n/a18
Mar ’25CHF 9.00
CHF 9.48
+5.4%
10.8%CHF 12.90CHF 8.35n/a19
Feb ’25CHF 9.00
CHF 9.43
+4.8%
11.3%CHF 12.77CHF 8.27n/a20
Jan ’25CHF 9.00
CHF 9.18
+2.0%
11.7%CHF 12.71CHF 8.07n/a21
Dec ’24CHF 9.00
CHF 9.57
+6.3%
11.3%CHF 13.21CHF 8.47n/a22
Nov ’24CHF 9.00
CHF 9.58
+6.5%
11.4%CHF 13.22CHF 8.54n/a22
Oct ’24CHF 9.00
CHF 9.61
+6.7%
11.4%CHF 13.33CHF 8.61n/a22
Sep ’24CHF 9.00
CHF 9.28
+3.1%
11.4%CHF 12.73CHF 7.66n/a23
Aug ’24CHF 9.00
CHF 9.17
+1.9%
11.1%CHF 12.85CHF 7.73CHF 9.0022
Jul ’24CHF 9.00
CHF 9.17
+1.9%
12.5%CHF 13.05CHF 7.52CHF 9.0021
Jun ’24CHF 9.00
CHF 9.42
+4.7%
11.8%CHF 12.90CHF 7.78CHF 9.0021
May ’24CHF 9.00
CHF 9.41
+4.6%
12.0%CHF 13.01CHF 7.82CHF 9.0022
Apr ’24CHF 9.00
CHF 9.50
+5.5%
11.3%CHF 12.11CHF 7.58CHF 9.0022
Mar ’24CHF 9.00
CHF 8.82
-1.9%
14.3%CHF 12.26CHF 7.10CHF 9.0023
Feb ’24CHF 9.00
CHF 8.85
-1.6%
14.5%CHF 12.26CHF 7.10CHF 9.0023
Jan ’24CHF 9.00
CHF 8.80
-2.2%
15.3%CHF 12.59CHF 6.98CHF 9.0023

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/08/19 09:59
End of Day Share Price 2024/08/19 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

China Mobile Limited is covered by 68 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Anand RamachandranBarclays
Alen LinBNP Paribas Securities (Asia)
Michael MengBOCI Research Ltd.