Lumentum Holdings Inc.

SWX:LITE1 Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 45.5b

Lumentum Holdings Valuation

Is LITE1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of LITE1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: LITE1 (CHF692.98) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value (CHF1745.92)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: LITE1 is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LITE1?

Key metric: As LITE1 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LITE1. This is calculated by dividing LITE1's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LITE1's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio129.1x
EarningsUS$439.00m
Market CapUS$56.66b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LITE1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LITE1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average74.7x
LOGN Logitech International
19.6x5.61%CHF 11.1b
CIEN Ciena
140.1x29.56%US$59.8b
MSI Motorola Solutions
33.6x9.88%US$70.2b
6869 Yangtze Optical Fibre And Cable Limited
105.5x44.16%HK$276.7b
LITE1 Lumentum Holdings
129.1x79.08%CHF 56.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LITE1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (129.1x) compared to the peer average (78.3x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LITE1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Communications Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
LITE1 129.1xIndustry Avg. 30.6xNo. of Companies7PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LITE1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (129.1x) compared to the European Communications industry average (30.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LITE1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LITE1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio129.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate LITE1's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LITE1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
CHF 899.87
0%
13.90%CHF 1,133.65CHF 485.85n/a25
Jun ’27n/a
CHF 871.48
0%
14.29%CHF 1,104.46CHF 473.34n/a24
May ’27n/a
CHF 681.29
0%
24.74%CHF 993.07CHF 355.67n/a24
Apr ’27n/a
CHF 557.11
0%
22.94%CHF 817.70CHF 357.74n/a23
Mar ’27n/a
CHF 462.39
0%
18.04%CHF 691.90CHF 349.79n/a22
Feb ’27n/a
CHF 270.99
0%
29.80%CHF 386.50CHF 108.22n/a21
Jan ’27n/a
CHF 213.60
0%
26.42%CHF 302.38CHF 111.40n/a21
Dec ’26n/a
CHF 189.10
0%
18.96%CHF 266.74CHF 113.16n/a21
Nov ’26n/a
CHF 134.86
0%
29.64%CHF 265.53CHF 66.79n/a20
Oct ’26n/a
CHF 113.93
0%
19.15%CHF 178.28CHF 65.77n/a19
Sep ’26n/a
CHF 110.63
0%
13.78%CHF 132.03CHF 66.41n/a19
Aug ’26n/a
CHF 83.45
0%
18.57%CHF 108.69CHF 58.77n/a17
Jul ’26n/a
CHF 73.98
0%
15.15%CHF 95.21CHF 57.92CHF 692.9816
Jun ’26n/a
CHF 70.89
0%
13.94%CHF 92.35CHF 54.57n/a16
May ’26n/a
CHF 69.60
0%
22.13%CHF 90.27CHF 32.82n/a16
Apr ’26n/a
CHF 87.94
0%
15.06%CHF 110.27CHF 61.75n/a16
Mar ’26n/a
CHF 89.72
0%
14.90%CHF 112.14CHF 62.80n/a16
Feb ’26n/a
CHF 85.32
0%
19.22%CHF 113.84CHF 54.64n/a16
Jan ’26n/a
CHF 80.69
0%
17.81%CHF 102.67CHF 53.57n/a16
Dec ’25n/a
CHF 76.71
0%
22.73%CHF 101.91CHF 45.20n/a16
Nov ’25n/a
CHF 52.41
0%
18.19%CHF 69.31CHF 34.65n/a16
Oct ’25n/a
CHF 51.57
0%
18.38%CHF 69.78CHF 34.89n/a16
Sep ’25n/a
CHF 51.57
0%
18.38%CHF 69.78CHF 34.89n/a16
Aug ’25n/a
CHF 49.04
0%
20.74%CHF 70.85CHF 33.65n/a16
Jul ’25n/a
CHF 49.16
0%
19.60%CHF 72.66CHF 34.51n/a16
CHF 1.06k
Fair Value
34.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
25
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/06 19:40
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/25 00:00
Earnings2026/03/28
Annual Earnings2025/06/28

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Lumentum Holdings Inc. is covered by 31 analysts. 23 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Skye ChenAletheia Analyst Network Limited
Thomas O'MalleyBarclays
Karl AckermanBNP Paribas