Stock Analysis

Investor Optimism Abounds LEM Holding SA (VTX:LEHN) But Growth Is Lacking

SWX:LEHN
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When close to half the companies in Switzerland have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may consider LEM Holding SA (VTX:LEHN) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 26.6x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.

Recent times have been advantageous for LEM Holding as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for LEM Holding

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SWX:LEHN Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 4th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think LEM Holding's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, LEM Holding would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 15%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 42% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 5.4% per year during the coming three years according to the four analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 8.6% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we find it concerning that LEM Holding is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of LEM Holding's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for LEM Holding that you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than LEM Holding. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.