Stock Analysis

Investor Optimism Abounds INFICON Holding AG (VTX:IFCN) But Growth Is Lacking

SWX:IFCN
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 32.2x INFICON Holding AG (VTX:IFCN) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Switzerland have P/E ratios under 21x and even P/E's lower than 13x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

INFICON Holding certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for INFICON Holding

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SWX:IFCN Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 28th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on INFICON Holding.

Is There Enough Growth For INFICON Holding?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like INFICON Holding's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 19% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 114% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 10% each year over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 12% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.

In light of this, it's curious that INFICON Holding's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On INFICON Holding's P/E

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that INFICON Holding currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for INFICON Holding with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than INFICON Holding. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.