INFICON Holding AG's (VTX:IFCN) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing
When close to half the companies in Switzerland have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 19x, you may consider INFICON Holding AG (VTX:IFCN) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 24.8x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
Recent earnings growth for INFICON Holding has been in line with the market. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this modest earnings performance will accelerate. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Check out our latest analysis for INFICON Holding
Is There Enough Growth For INFICON Holding?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as INFICON Holding's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 6.7% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 40% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 8.6% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be similar to the 10% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's curious that INFICON Holding's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From INFICON Holding's P/E?
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that INFICON Holding currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for INFICON Holding with six simple checks.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SWX:IFCN
INFICON Holding
Develops instruments for gas analysis, measurement, and control in the Switzerland and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet with proven track record and pays a dividend.
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