Oracle Corporation

SWX:ORCL Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF308.3b

Oracle Valuation

Is ORCL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ORCL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ORCL (CHF58.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF68.05)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ORCL is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ORCL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ORCL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA20.1x
PEG Ratio2.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ORCL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ORCL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average50.7x
NOW ServiceNow
81.5x7.5%US$157.1b
PANW Palo Alto Networks
45.1x-14.7%US$102.6b
VMW VMware
43.1x14.2%US$61.5b
TEMN Temenos
33.2x14.7%CHF4.1b
ORCL Oracle
31.9x14.6%CHF339.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ORCL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.9x) compared to the peer average (53.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ORCL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Software Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a29.1%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a29.1%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ORCL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.9x) compared to the European Software industry average (34.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ORCL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ORCL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio31.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ORCL's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ORCL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF58.30
CHF124.64
+113.8%
13.1%CHF145.64CHF75.55n/a28
May ’25CHF58.30
CHF123.88
+112.5%
12.9%CHF144.66CHF75.04n/a29
Apr ’25CHF58.30
CHF123.88
+112.5%
12.9%CHF144.66CHF75.04n/a29
Mar ’25CHF58.30
CHF107.90
+85.1%
12.5%CHF130.25CHF72.07n/a30
Feb ’25CHF58.30
CHF107.90
+85.1%
12.5%CHF130.25CHF72.07n/a30
Jan ’25CHF58.30
CHF104.30
+78.9%
13.6%CHF126.40CHF69.94n/a29
Dec ’24CHF58.30
CHF111.71
+91.6%
13.9%CHF131.34CHF66.55n/a29
Nov ’24CHF58.30
CHF114.10
+95.7%
13.8%CHF133.72CHF67.75n/a30
Oct ’24CHF58.30
CHF117.79
+102.0%
12.7%CHF136.80CHF69.31n/a30
Sep ’24CHF58.30
CHF111.46
+91.2%
13.7%CHF131.67CHF66.72n/a29
Aug ’24CHF58.30
CHF110.13
+88.9%
13.6%CHF130.82CHF66.28n/a29
Jul ’24CHF58.30
CHF112.18
+92.4%
14.5%CHF134.96CHF68.38n/a28
Jun ’24CHF58.30
CHF88.73
+52.2%
14.1%CHF109.31CHF61.03n/a27
May ’24CHF58.30
CHF86.65
+48.6%
14.1%CHF107.24CHF59.87CHF58.3027
Apr ’24CHF58.30
CHF88.16
+51.2%
13.7%CHF109.77CHF61.29CHF58.3027
Mar ’24CHF58.30
CHF84.33
+44.6%
17.4%CHF110.44CHF50.62CHF58.3028
Feb ’24CHF58.30
CHF84.33
+44.6%
17.4%CHF110.44CHF50.62CHF58.3028
Jan ’24CHF58.30
CHF83.40
+43.1%
17.1%CHF112.06CHF51.36CHF58.3026
Dec ’23CHF58.30
CHF85.44
+46.5%
19.0%CHF119.75CHF54.89CHF58.3026
Nov ’23CHF58.30
CHF85.44
+46.5%
19.0%CHF119.75CHF54.89CHF58.3026
Oct ’23CHF58.30
CHF84.58
+45.1%
15.6%CHF110.89CHF64.61CHF58.3024
Sep ’23CHF58.30
CHF82.67
+41.8%
16.1%CHF109.17CHF63.60CHF58.3023
Aug ’23CHF58.30
CHF83.92
+43.9%
15.8%CHF111.81CHF65.14CHF58.3022
Jul ’23CHF58.30
CHF83.19
+42.7%
15.3%CHF109.85CHF64.00CHF58.3023
Jun ’23CHF58.30
CHF87.06
+49.3%
16.1%CHF121.09CHF60.55CHF58.3022
May ’23CHF58.30
CHF83.21
+42.7%
16.3%CHF116.61CHF58.31CHF58.3023

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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