Stock Analysis

Revenues Working Against ams-OSRAM AG's (VTX:AMS) Share Price Following 25% Dive

SWX:AMS
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ams-OSRAM AG (VTX:AMS) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 25% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 84% share price decline.

Following the heavy fall in price, considering around half the companies operating in Switzerland's Semiconductor industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 2.1x, you may consider ams-OSRAM as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.3x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for ams-OSRAM

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SWX:AMS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 7th 2024

What Does ams-OSRAM's Recent Performance Look Like?

ams-OSRAM has been struggling lately as its revenue has declined faster than most other companies. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to improve at all. If you still like the company, you'd want its revenue trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think ams-OSRAM's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For ams-OSRAM?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, ams-OSRAM would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 17% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 33% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 6.1% per year as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 18% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that ams-OSRAM's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

The southerly movements of ams-OSRAM's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that ams-OSRAM maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for ams-OSRAM that we have uncovered.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on ams-OSRAM, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.