Stock Analysis

Don't Buy Swiss Prime Site AG (VTX:SPSN) For Its Next Dividend Without Doing These Checks

Published
SWX:SPSN

Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Swiss Prime Site AG (VTX:SPSN) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 2 days. The ex-dividend date occurs one day before the record date which is the day on which shareholders need to be on the company's books in order to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is of consequence because whenever a stock is bought or sold, the trade takes at least two business day to settle. Therefore, if you purchase Swiss Prime Site's shares on or after the 26th of March, you won't be eligible to receive the dividend, when it is paid on the 28th of March.

The company's next dividend payment will be CHF03.40 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of CHF3.40 to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Swiss Prime Site has a trailing yield of 3.8% on the current stock price of CHF088.50. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether Swiss Prime Site's dividend is reliable and sustainable. We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing.

See our latest analysis for Swiss Prime Site

If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Last year, Swiss Prime Site paid out 301% of its profit to shareholders in the form of dividends. This is not sustainable behaviour and requires a closer look on behalf of the purchaser. Yet cash flows are even more important than profits for assessing a dividend, so we need to see if the company generated enough cash to pay its distribution. It paid out more than half (61%) of its free cash flow in the past year, which is within an average range for most companies.

It's disappointing to see that the dividend was not covered by profits, but cash is more important from a dividend sustainability perspective, and Swiss Prime Site fortunately did generate enough cash to fund its dividend. If executives were to continue paying more in dividends than the company reported in profits, we'd view this as a warning sign. Extraordinarily few companies are capable of persistently paying a dividend that is greater than their profits.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

SWX:SPSN Historic Dividend March 23rd 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

When earnings decline, dividend companies become much harder to analyse and own safely. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. With that in mind, we're discomforted by Swiss Prime Site's 23% per annum decline in earnings in the past five years. When earnings per share fall, the maximum amount of dividends that can be paid also falls.

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. Swiss Prime Site has seen its dividend decline 0.6% per annum on average over the past 10 years, which is not great to see.

To Sum It Up

From a dividend perspective, should investors buy or avoid Swiss Prime Site? Earnings per share have been in decline, which is not encouraging. Additionally, Swiss Prime Site is paying out quite a high percentage of its earnings, and more than half its cash flow, so it's hard to evaluate whether the company is reinvesting enough in its business to improve its situation. It's not that we think Swiss Prime Site is a bad company, but these characteristics don't generally lead to outstanding dividend performance.

With that in mind though, if the poor dividend characteristics of Swiss Prime Site don't faze you, it's worth being mindful of the risks involved with this business. For example, we've found 4 warning signs for Swiss Prime Site (1 is a bit concerning!) that deserve your attention before investing in the shares.

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.