Stock Analysis

Take Care Before Diving Into The Deep End On Admicasa Holding AG (BRN:ADMI)

BRSE:ADMI
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When close to half the companies in the Real Estate industry in Switzerland have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 9x, you may consider Admicasa Holding AG (BRN:ADMI) as a highly attractive investment with its 1.2x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Admicasa Holding

ps-multiple-vs-industry
BRSE:ADMI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 9th 2024

How Admicasa Holding Has Been Performing

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Admicasa Holding as its revenue has been rising very briskly. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dwindle, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Admicasa Holding's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Admicasa Holding would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 100% last year. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 14% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to shrink 11% in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum is still superior based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, it's perhaps strange but not a major surprise that Admicasa Holding is trading at a lower P/S in comparison. There's no guarantee the P/S has found a floor yet with recent revenue going backwards, despite the industry heading down even harder. There is still potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth, which would be difficult to do with the current industry outlook.

What We Can Learn From Admicasa Holding's P/S?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Admicasa Holding revealed its narrower three-year contraction in revenue isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the industry is set to shrink even more. There could be some major unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching this comparatively more attractive revenue performance. The most obvious risk is that its revenue trajectory may not keep outperforming under these tough industry conditions. While recent medium-term revenue trends suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to perceive a possibility of revenue volatility in the future.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Admicasa Holding (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.