Novartis AG

SWX:NOVN Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 176.0b

Novartis Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Novartis is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 7% and 2.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 9.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 37.2% in 3 years.

Key information

7.0%

Earnings growth rate

9.2%

EPS growth rate

Pharmaceuticals earnings growth12.3%
Revenue growth rate2.4%
Future return on equity37.2%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated18 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Novartis (VTX:NOVN) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet

Dec 17
Novartis (VTX:NOVN) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet

We Think Novartis' (VTX:NOVN) Robust Earnings Are Conservative

Nov 05
We Think Novartis' (VTX:NOVN) Robust Earnings Are Conservative

Investors Interested In Novartis AG's (VTX:NOVN) Earnings

Oct 21
Investors Interested In Novartis AG's (VTX:NOVN) Earnings

Novartis (VTX:NOVN) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet

Sep 04
Novartis (VTX:NOVN) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet

Novartis AG's (VTX:NOVN) Price In Tune With Earnings

Mar 12
Novartis AG's (VTX:NOVN) Price In Tune With Earnings

Novartis (VTX:NOVN) Has Announced A Dividend Of $3.30

Feb 20
Novartis (VTX:NOVN) Has Announced A Dividend Of $3.30

Is There An Opportunity With Novartis AG's (VTX:NOVN) 47% Undervaluation?

Jan 04
Is There An Opportunity With Novartis AG's (VTX:NOVN) 47% Undervaluation?

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SWX:NOVN - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202653,22113,20916,92419,57414
12/31/202552,60212,50816,08918,49517
12/31/202450,41411,04114,75116,96917
9/30/202449,94011,76112,55215,973N/A
6/30/202448,86010,08313,56015,065N/A
3/31/202447,7339,10712,07113,766N/A
12/31/202346,6608,56813,66014,458N/A
9/30/202345,8507,24515,50716,022N/A
6/30/202344,5417,06213,24115,365N/A
3/31/202341,6945,97614,00915,544N/A
12/31/202243,4616,04912,16714,236N/A
9/30/202246,01721,04211,54514,009N/A
6/30/202248,60122,47211,71414,213N/A
3/31/202252,99724,18412,34914,590N/A
12/31/202143,97422,90813,20115,071N/A
9/30/202152,3859,80713,01515,192N/A
6/30/202151,5568,98411,22213,423N/A
3/31/202149,8847,95510,69913,252N/A
12/31/202049,8988,07211,44513,650N/A
9/30/202049,5847,10311,74313,185N/A
6/30/202049,5287,21013,25514,591N/A
3/31/202049,9307,45113,07714,240N/A
12/31/201948,6777,14212,34113,625N/A
9/30/201947,8587,23812,12213,851N/A
6/30/201946,7627,07711,47713,339N/A
3/31/201946,39112,69711,77813,671N/A
12/31/201846,09912,79712,44714,272N/A
9/30/201847,36613,55211,74813,914N/A
6/30/201848,67213,752N/A13,450N/A
3/31/201849,5138,004N/A13,090N/A
12/31/201743,4047,499N/A12,621N/A
9/30/201749,5276,684N/A12,804N/A
6/30/201749,1766,543N/A12,449N/A
3/31/201749,3616,367N/A11,978N/A
12/31/201649,3866,712N/A11,475N/A
9/30/201649,6066,807N/A12,041N/A
6/30/201649,7506,672N/A11,936N/A
3/31/201649,9676,722N/A11,735N/A
12/31/201550,3877,017N/A11,897N/A
9/30/201550,6358,417N/A12,945N/A
6/30/201551,4509,697N/A13,830N/A
3/31/201552,50310,536N/A14,260N/A
12/31/201453,63410,657N/A13,897N/A
9/30/201453,90810,191N/A13,142N/A
6/30/201453,5149,233N/A13,510N/A
3/31/201452,8459,095N/A12,687N/A
12/31/201352,7169,192N/A13,174N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: NOVN's forecast earnings growth (7% per year) is above the savings rate (0.3%).

Earnings vs Market: NOVN's earnings (7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Swiss market (11.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: NOVN's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: NOVN's revenue (2.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Swiss market (4.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: NOVN's revenue (2.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: NOVN's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (37.2%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 10:17
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Novartis AG is covered by 68 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Kamla SinghAlphaValue
John EadeArgus Research Company
Fabrizio SpagnaAxia Financial Research