Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, MCH Group AG (VTX:MCHN) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for MCH Group
What Is MCH Group's Debt?
As you can see below, MCH Group had CHF254.7m of debt at December 2020, down from CHF274.4m a year prior. On the flip side, it has CHF130.1m in cash leading to net debt of about CHF124.7m.
How Healthy Is MCH Group's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, MCH Group had liabilities of CHF81.4m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CHF250.8m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CHF130.1m and CHF30.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CHF171.3m.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CHF197.8m. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if MCH Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
In the last year MCH Group had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 63%, to CHF163m. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
Caveat Emptor
While MCH Group's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable CHF66m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled CHF88m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with MCH Group (including 1 which is concerning) .
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About SWX:MCHN
MCH Group
Operates as a live marketing company that provides a network of services in the exhibition and event market worldwide.
Undervalued with excellent balance sheet.