SIG Group Valuation

Is SIGN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SIGN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SIGN (CHF17.29) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF20.97)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SIGN is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SIGN?

Key metric: As SIGN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SIGN. This is calculated by dividing SIGN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SIGN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio25.7x
Earnings€275.50m
Market Cap€7.23b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SIGN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SIGN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.5x
CLN Clariant
27.5x28.5%CHF 3.3b
EMSN EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING
30.8x7.4%CHF 14.4b
SIKA Sika
28.1x8.8%CHF 35.8b
GPK Graphic Packaging Holding
11.6x6.4%US$8.6b
SIGN SIG Group
25.7x12.0%CHF 6.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SIGN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the peer average (24.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SIGN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Packaging Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SIGN 25.7xIndustry Avg. 18.2xNo. of Companies7PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SIGN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the European Packaging industry average (18.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SIGN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SIGN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.7x
Fair PE Ratio21.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SIGN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SIGN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 17.29
CHF 22.21
+28.5%
12.7%CHF 26.59CHF 16.13n/a10
Dec ’25CHF 17.42
CHF 22.22
+27.5%
12.6%CHF 26.58CHF 16.22n/a10
Nov ’25CHF 18.53
CHF 22.49
+21.4%
12.9%CHF 26.91CHF 16.27n/a10
Oct ’25CHF 18.72
CHF 22.14
+18.3%
13.4%CHF 26.88CHF 16.13n/a11
Sep ’25CHF 17.94
CHF 22.44
+25.1%
13.4%CHF 27.01CHF 16.18n/a11
Aug ’25CHF 18.45
CHF 21.96
+19.0%
14.0%CHF 26.60CHF 15.94n/a11
Jul ’25CHF 16.66
CHF 22.61
+35.7%
16.0%CHF 27.91CHF 15.57n/a12
Jun ’25CHF 18.73
CHF 23.39
+24.9%
15.9%CHF 28.68CHF 16.00n/a12
May ’25CHF 18.40
CHF 23.50
+27.7%
15.5%CHF 28.46CHF 15.82n/a12
Apr ’25CHF 20.00
CHF 23.16
+15.8%
15.2%CHF 27.81CHF 16.09n/a12
Mar ’25CHF 17.89
CHF 23.52
+31.4%
15.1%CHF 27.76CHF 16.07n/a12
Feb ’25CHF 17.94
CHF 24.17
+34.7%
14.2%CHF 27.99CHF 17.55n/a12
Jan ’25CHF 19.35
CHF 24.32
+25.7%
14.9%CHF 27.99CHF 17.63n/a12
Dec ’24CHF 20.36
CHF 25.27
+24.1%
14.1%CHF 28.53CHF 18.01CHF 17.4211
Nov ’24CHF 19.81
CHF 25.51
+28.8%
13.1%CHF 28.30CHF 18.89CHF 18.5311
Oct ’24CHF 22.64
CHF 26.48
+17.0%
13.9%CHF 30.32CHF 19.09CHF 18.7211
Sep ’24CHF 23.32
CHF 26.16
+12.2%
13.7%CHF 30.04CHF 18.87CHF 17.9412
Aug ’24CHF 23.30
CHF 27.41
+17.6%
11.1%CHF 31.86CHF 18.95CHF 18.4512
Jul ’24CHF 24.68
CHF 28.40
+15.1%
5.8%CHF 32.02CHF 26.09CHF 16.6611
Jun ’24CHF 25.10
CHF 27.97
+11.4%
6.4%CHF 31.72CHF 25.56CHF 18.7311
May ’24CHF 23.84
CHF 25.82
+8.3%
11.3%CHF 29.97CHF 18.56CHF 18.4012
Apr ’24CHF 23.52
CHF 25.71
+9.3%
11.2%CHF 29.85CHF 18.85CHF 20.0012
Mar ’24CHF 22.68
CHF 25.58
+12.8%
11.5%CHF 30.38CHF 19.00CHF 17.8912
Feb ’24CHF 22.64
CHF 25.23
+11.4%
12.9%CHF 30.28CHF 17.16CHF 17.9412
Jan ’24CHF 20.20
CHF 24.81
+22.8%
14.0%CHF 29.88CHF 16.93CHF 19.3511
Dec ’23CHF 21.00
CHF 24.53
+16.8%
13.9%CHF 29.84CHF 16.91CHF 20.3612

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 18:52
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

SIG Group AG is covered by 22 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Pallav MittalBarclays
Fraser DonlonBerenberg
Benjamin ThielmannBerenberg