Alcoa Corporation

BRSE:185 Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 8.0b

Alcoa Valuation

Is 185 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 185 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
CHF 186.09
Fair Value
83.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
13
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 185 (CHF30.89) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF186.09)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 185 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 185?

Key metric: As 185 is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 185. This is calculated by dividing 185's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 185's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.8x
SalesUS$11.90b
Market CapUS$9.02b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 185's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 185 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.6x
EMSN EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING
6.8x3.3%CHF 14.2b
SIGN SIG Group
2x4.0%CHF 6.1b
CLN Clariant
0.7x3.7%CHF 3.0b
GIVN Givaudan
5x4.5%CHF 36.7b
185 Alcoa
0.8x2.5%CHF 9.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 185 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the peer average (3.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 185's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Metals and Mining Industry?

44 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
185 0.8xIndustry Avg. 0.6xNo. of Companies44PS012345+
44 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 185 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x) compared to the European Metals and Mining industry average (0.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 185's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

185 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.8x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 185's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 185 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
CHF 42.18
0%
11.1%CHF 50.93CHF 35.12n/a13
Apr ’26n/a
CHF 42.18
0%
11.1%CHF 50.93CHF 35.12n/a13
Mar ’26n/a
CHF 43.44
0%
11.1%CHF 52.44CHF 36.17n/a13
Feb ’26n/a
CHF 43.44
0%
11.1%CHF 52.44CHF 36.17n/a13
Jan ’26n/a
CHF 43.59
0%
11.9%CHF 51.79CHF 33.93n/a13
Dec ’25n/a
CHF 42.03
0%
12.1%CHF 51.40CHF 34.12n/a13
Nov ’25n/a
CHF 40.70
0%
10.8%CHF 47.66CHF 33.36n/a13
Oct ’25n/a
CHF 37.63
0%
14.4%CHF 46.54CHF 30.46n/a12
Sep ’25n/a
CHF 38.54
0%
13.7%CHF 47.57CHF 32.00n/a10
Aug ’25n/a
CHF 39.04
0%
15.0%CHF 48.62CHF 30.05n/a10
Jul ’25n/a
CHF 36.57
0%
21.5%CHF 46.66CHF 22.43n/a11
Jun ’25n/a
CHF 35.19
0%
20.8%CHF 47.50CHF 22.84n/a11
May ’25n/a
CHF 32.84
0%
16.5%CHF 43.70CHF 22.76n/a12
Apr ’25n/a
CHF 27.69
0%
20.9%CHF 40.71CHF 19.90n/a12
Mar ’25n/a
CHF 26.89
0%
20.8%CHF 39.79CHF 19.45n/a12
Feb ’25n/a
CHF 27.22
0%
17.8%CHF 39.07CHF 19.97n/a13
Jan ’25n/a
CHF 26.29
0%
18.4%CHF 38.40CHF 19.63n/a12
Dec ’24n/a
CHF 27.30
0%
20.8%CHF 39.82CHF 20.35n/a11
Nov ’24n/a
CHF 27.31
0%
21.6%CHF 40.19CHF 20.54n/a11
Oct ’24n/a
CHF 33.30
0%
24.3%CHF 49.45CHF 22.48n/a10
Sep ’24n/a
CHF 33.42
0%
20.3%CHF 48.28CHF 21.95n/a12
Aug ’24n/a
CHF 33.68
0%
20.0%CHF 47.81CHF 21.73n/a12
Jul ’24n/a
CHF 41.06
0%
18.3%CHF 53.98CHF 29.69n/a12
Jun ’24n/a
CHF 45.21
0%
16.4%CHF 59.21CHF 33.70n/a12
May ’24n/a
CHF 45.17
0%
14.3%CHF 58.25CHF 35.85n/a10
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
CHF 42.59
Fair Value
27.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
13
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/03/21 03:11
End of Day Share Price 2025/03/19 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Alcoa Corporation is covered by 27 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David ColemanArgus Research Company
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Paretosh MisraBerenberg