Stock Analysis

It Might Not Be A Great Idea To Buy Ascom Holding AG (VTX:ASCN) For Its Next Dividend

SWX:ASCN
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Some investors rely on dividends for growing their wealth, and if you're one of those dividend sleuths, you might be intrigued to know that Ascom Holding AG (VTX:ASCN) is about to go ex-dividend in just 3 days. The ex-dividend date is two business days before a company's record date in most cases, which is the date on which the company determines which shareholders are entitled to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is an important date to be aware of as any purchase of the stock made on or after this date might mean a late settlement that doesn't show on the record date. Meaning, you will need to purchase Ascom Holding's shares before the 22nd of April to receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 24th of April.

The company's next dividend payment will be CHF00.10 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed CHF0.10 to shareholders. Last year's total dividend payments show that Ascom Holding has a trailing yield of 3.3% on the current share price of CHF03.06. We love seeing companies pay a dividend, but it's also important to be sure that laying the golden eggs isn't going to kill our golden goose! We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing.

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. Last year, Ascom Holding paid out 97% of its income as dividends, which is above a level that we're comfortable with, especially if the company needs to reinvest in its business. Yet cash flow is typically more important than profit for assessing dividend sustainability, so we should always check if the company generated enough cash to afford its dividend. Over the last year, it paid out dividends equivalent to 240% of what it generated in free cash flow, a disturbingly high percentage. It's pretty hard to pay out more than you earn, so we wonder how Ascom Holding intends to continue funding this dividend, or if it could be forced to cut the payment.

Ascom Holding does have a large net cash position on the balance sheet, which could fund large dividends for a time, if the company so chose. Still, smart investors know that it is better to assess dividends relative to the cash and profit generated by the business. Paying dividends out of cash on the balance sheet is not long-term sustainable.

Cash is slightly more important than profit from a dividend perspective, but given Ascom Holding's payments were not well covered by either earnings or cash flow, we are concerned about the sustainability of this dividend.

Check out our latest analysis for Ascom Holding

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
SWX:ASCN Historic Dividend April 18th 2025
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Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with consistently growing earnings per share generally make the best dividend stocks, as they usually find it easier to grow dividends per share. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. That's why it's comforting to see Ascom Holding's earnings have been skyrocketing, up 49% per annum for the past five years. Earnings per share are increasing at a rapid rate, but the company is paying out more than we are comfortable with, based on current earnings. Generally, when a company is growing this quickly and paying out all of its earnings as dividends, it can suggest either that the company is borrowing heavily to fund its growth, or that earnings growth is likely to slow due to lack of reinvestment.

Many investors will assess a company's dividend performance by evaluating how much the dividend payments have changed over time. Ascom Holding's dividend payments per share have declined at 14% per year on average over the past 10 years, which is uninspiring. Ascom Holding is a rare case where dividends have been decreasing at the same time as earnings per share have been improving. It's unusual to see, and could point to unstable conditions in the core business, or more rarely an intensified focus on reinvesting profits.

The Bottom Line

Is Ascom Holding worth buying for its dividend? While it's nice to see earnings per share growing, we're curious about how Ascom Holding intends to continue growing, or maintain the dividend in a downturn given that it's paying out such a high percentage of its earnings and cashflow. Bottom line: Ascom Holding has some unfortunate characteristics that we think could lead to sub-optimal outcomes for dividend investors.

With that in mind though, if the poor dividend characteristics of Ascom Holding don't faze you, it's worth being mindful of the risks involved with this business. For example, we've found 3 warning signs for Ascom Holding that we recommend you consider before investing in the business.

A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.