Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Aevis Victoria SA (VTX:AEVS) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Aevis Victoria
What Is Aevis Victoria's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2021 Aevis Victoria had debt of CHF803.5m, up from CHF651.5m in one year. However, it also had CHF94.2m in cash, and so its net debt is CHF709.3m.
How Healthy Is Aevis Victoria's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Aevis Victoria had liabilities of CHF280.5m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CHF777.5m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CHF94.2m in cash and CHF238.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CHF725.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Aevis Victoria has a market capitalization of CHF1.27b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Aevis Victoria will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
In the last year Aevis Victoria wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 5.4%, to CHF652m. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Aevis Victoria produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CHF34m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled CHF193m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Aevis Victoria (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored) .
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SWX:AEVS
Aevis Victoria
Engages in healthcare, hospitality, lifestyle, and infrastructure sectors in Switzerland.
Low and overvalued.