Philip Morris International Inc.

SWX:PMI Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 180.9b

Philip Morris International Valuation

Is PMI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PMI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PMI (CHF116) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF236.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PMI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PMI?

Key metric: As PMI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PMI. This is calculated by dividing PMI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PMI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.9x
EarningsUS$9.81b
Market CapUS$204.80b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PMI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PMI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.2x
NESN Nestlé
17.6x4.9%CHF 201.0b
LISN Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli
33.3x6.2%CHF 23.0b
MO Altria Group
9.3x-4.7%US$94.8b
ITC ITC
28.5x9.6%₹5.8t
PMI Philip Morris International
20.9x9.4%CHF 204.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PMI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the peer average (22.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PMI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Tobacco Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PMI 20.9xIndustry Avg. 11.7xNo. of Companies8PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PMI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the Global Tobacco industry average (11.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PMI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PMI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.9x
Fair PE Ratio27.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PMI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PMI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 116.00
CHF 120.13
+3.6%
12.1%CHF 136.91CHF 90.09n/a13
Nov ’25CHF 113.00
CHF 116.18
+2.8%
12.5%CHF 134.26CHF 88.35n/a13
Oct ’25CHF 107.00
CHF 107.03
+0.02%
11.3%CHF 122.70CHF 86.31n/a13
Sep ’25CHF 101.00
CHF 102.74
+1.7%
9.1%CHF 115.96CHF 82.21n/a14
Aug ’25CHF 100.00
CHF 102.46
+2.5%
8.6%CHF 118.67CHF 84.13n/a14
Jul ’25CHF 91.00
CHF 100.39
+10.3%
8.3%CHF 121.01CHF 81.27n/a14
Jun ’25CHF 90.00
CHF 99.36
+10.4%
9.0%CHF 121.68CHF 78.09n/a15
May ’25CHF 87.00
CHF 100.34
+15.3%
8.8%CHF 123.18CHF 79.06n/a16
Apr ’25CHF 81.50
CHF 95.86
+17.6%
9.5%CHF 119.02CHF 75.50n/a15
Mar ’25CHF 80.00
CHF 93.97
+17.5%
10.4%CHF 118.07CHF 74.90n/a16
Feb ’25CHF 78.00
CHF 93.38
+19.7%
10.7%CHF 115.78CHF 73.88n/a16
Jan ’25CHF 80.00
CHF 94.13
+17.7%
9.1%CHF 112.75CHF 74.16n/a18
Dec ’24CHF 83.50
CHF 95.29
+14.1%
9.1%CHF 113.61CHF 74.72n/a18
Nov ’24CHF 81.00
CHF 98.83
+22.0%
8.6%CHF 117.21CHF 77.09CHF 113.0017
Oct ’24CHF 88.50
CHF 103.81
+17.3%
7.7%CHF 118.98CHF 79.62CHF 107.0017
Sep ’24CHF 88.00
CHF 99.55
+13.1%
8.2%CHF 114.47CHF 76.61CHF 101.0018
Aug ’24CHF 88.00
CHF 98.02
+11.4%
8.2%CHF 112.60CHF 75.35CHF 100.0018
Jul ’24CHF 85.00
CHF 101.04
+18.9%
8.2%CHF 116.35CHF 77.87CHF 91.0018
Jun ’24CHF 85.50
CHF 100.98
+18.1%
8.0%CHF 116.05CHF 80.35CHF 90.0018
May ’24CHF 94.50
CHF 100.65
+6.5%
7.9%CHF 115.56CHF 80.00CHF 87.0018
Apr ’24CHF 95.00
CHF 104.00
+9.5%
8.2%CHF 119.46CHF 82.70CHF 81.5017
Mar ’24CHF 94.00
CHF 105.17
+11.9%
8.6%CHF 122.19CHF 84.59CHF 80.0019
Feb ’24CHF 97.00
CHF 97.92
+0.9%
10.0%CHF 118.14CHF 81.79CHF 78.0019
Jan ’24CHF 92.50
CHF 97.86
+5.8%
10.2%CHF 118.60CHF 80.31CHF 80.0018
Dec ’23CHF 100.00
CHF 97.49
-2.5%
9.5%CHF 120.60CHF 81.66CHF 83.5017
Nov ’23CHF 93.00
CHF 101.10
+8.7%
10.2%CHF 126.74CHF 84.82CHF 81.0017

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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