Philip Morris International Inc.

SWX:PMI Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 174.2b

Philip Morris International Valuation

Is PMI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PMI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PMI (CHF115) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF227.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PMI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PMI?

Key metric: As PMI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PMI. This is calculated by dividing PMI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PMI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.8x
EarningsUS$9.81b
Market CapUS$193.65b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PMI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PMI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.9x
NESN Nestlé
17x4.7%CHF 190.8b
LISN Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli
33.4x6.4%CHF 22.9b
MO Altria Group
8.8x-4.2%US$90.2b
ITC ITC
28.3x9.6%₹5.8t
PMI Philip Morris International
19.8x9.4%CHF 193.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PMI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x) compared to the peer average (21.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PMI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Tobacco Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PMI 19.8xIndustry Avg. 12.5xNo. of Companies9PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PMI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x) compared to the Global Tobacco industry average (12.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PMI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PMI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.8x
Fair PE Ratio27.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PMI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PMI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 115.00
CHF 121.56
+5.7%
12.2%CHF 138.38CHF 91.06n/a13
Dec ’25CHF 115.00
CHF 117.53
+2.2%
12.1%CHF 133.94CHF 88.14n/a13
Nov ’25CHF 113.00
CHF 116.18
+2.8%
12.5%CHF 134.26CHF 88.35n/a13
Oct ’25CHF 107.00
CHF 107.03
+0.02%
11.3%CHF 122.70CHF 86.31n/a13
Sep ’25CHF 101.00
CHF 102.74
+1.7%
9.1%CHF 115.96CHF 82.21n/a14
Aug ’25CHF 100.00
CHF 102.46
+2.5%
8.6%CHF 118.67CHF 84.13n/a14
Jul ’25CHF 91.00
CHF 100.39
+10.3%
8.3%CHF 121.01CHF 81.27n/a14
Jun ’25CHF 90.00
CHF 99.36
+10.4%
9.0%CHF 121.68CHF 78.09n/a15
May ’25CHF 87.00
CHF 100.34
+15.3%
8.8%CHF 123.18CHF 79.06n/a16
Apr ’25CHF 81.50
CHF 95.86
+17.6%
9.5%CHF 119.02CHF 75.50n/a15
Mar ’25CHF 80.00
CHF 93.97
+17.5%
10.4%CHF 118.07CHF 74.90n/a16
Feb ’25CHF 78.00
CHF 93.38
+19.7%
10.7%CHF 115.78CHF 73.88n/a16
Jan ’25CHF 80.00
CHF 94.13
+17.7%
9.1%CHF 112.75CHF 74.16n/a18
Dec ’24CHF 83.50
CHF 95.29
+14.1%
9.1%CHF 113.61CHF 74.72CHF 115.0018
Nov ’24CHF 81.00
CHF 98.83
+22.0%
8.6%CHF 117.21CHF 77.09CHF 113.0017
Oct ’24CHF 88.50
CHF 103.81
+17.3%
7.7%CHF 118.98CHF 79.62CHF 107.0017
Sep ’24CHF 88.00
CHF 99.55
+13.1%
8.2%CHF 114.47CHF 76.61CHF 101.0018
Aug ’24CHF 88.00
CHF 98.02
+11.4%
8.2%CHF 112.60CHF 75.35CHF 100.0018
Jul ’24CHF 85.00
CHF 101.04
+18.9%
8.2%CHF 116.35CHF 77.87CHF 91.0018
Jun ’24CHF 85.50
CHF 100.98
+18.1%
8.0%CHF 116.05CHF 80.35CHF 90.0018
May ’24CHF 94.50
CHF 100.65
+6.5%
7.9%CHF 115.56CHF 80.00CHF 87.0018
Apr ’24CHF 95.00
CHF 104.00
+9.5%
8.2%CHF 119.46CHF 82.70CHF 81.5017
Mar ’24CHF 94.00
CHF 105.17
+11.9%
8.6%CHF 122.19CHF 84.59CHF 80.0019
Feb ’24CHF 97.00
CHF 97.92
+0.9%
10.0%CHF 118.14CHF 81.79CHF 78.0019
Jan ’24CHF 92.50
CHF 97.86
+5.8%
10.2%CHF 118.60CHF 80.31CHF 80.0018
Dec ’23CHF 100.00
CHF 97.49
-2.5%
9.5%CHF 120.60CHF 81.66CHF 83.5017

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 11:59
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Philip Morris International Inc. is covered by 41 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David ColemanArgus Research Company
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Michael BrancaBarclays