Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG

SWX:LISN Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 25.2b

Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli Valuation

Is LISN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LISN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LISN (CHF108800) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF130515.45)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LISN is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LISN?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

LISN key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA25.4x
PEG Ratio5.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LISN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LISN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21x
BARN Barry Callebaut
26.2x25.0%CHF 7.5b
EMMN Emmi
24.2x15.3%CHF 4.7b
NESN Nestlé
20.9x6.5%CHF 234.0b
BELL Bell Food Group
12.6x-0.7%CHF 1.6b
LISN Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli
36.7x6.4%CHF 25.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LISN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.7x) compared to the peer average (21x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LISN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LISN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.7x) compared to the European Food industry average (15.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LISN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LISN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio36.7x
Fair PE Ratio23x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LISN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LISN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 108,800.00
CHF 109,909.09
+1.0%
9.9%CHF 126,000.00CHF 93,000.00n/a11
Aug ’25CHF 108,600.00
CHF 109,909.09
+1.2%
9.9%CHF 126,000.00CHF 93,000.00n/a11
Jul ’25CHF 104,200.00
CHF 110,375.00
+5.9%
9.8%CHF 127,000.00CHF 93,000.00n/a12
Jun ’25CHF 107,200.00
CHF 110,291.67
+2.9%
9.9%CHF 127,000.00CHF 93,000.00n/a12
May ’25CHF 106,400.00
CHF 107,409.09
+0.9%
9.5%CHF 125,500.00CHF 93,000.00n/a11
Apr ’25CHF 108,800.00
CHF 107,409.09
-1.3%
9.5%CHF 125,500.00CHF 93,000.00n/a11
Mar ’25CHF 106,400.00
CHF 106,590.91
+0.2%
10.0%CHF 125,500.00CHF 93,000.00n/a11
Feb ’25CHF 111,000.00
CHF 106,590.91
-4.0%
10.0%CHF 125,500.00CHF 93,000.00n/a11
Jan ’25CHF 102,000.00
CHF 104,845.45
+2.8%
11.7%CHF 125,500.00CHF 86,000.00n/a11
Dec ’24CHF 106,600.00
CHF 103,730.00
-2.7%
11.9%CHF 125,500.00CHF 86,000.00n/a10
Nov ’24CHF 101,200.00
CHF 103,730.00
+2.5%
11.9%CHF 125,500.00CHF 86,000.00n/a10
Oct ’24CHF 100,400.00
CHF 104,611.11
+4.2%
11.2%CHF 125,500.00CHF 86,000.00n/a9
Sep ’24CHF 103,600.00
CHF 104,611.11
+1.0%
11.2%CHF 125,500.00CHF 86,000.00n/a9
Aug ’24CHF 105,800.00
CHF 102,388.89
-3.2%
10.2%CHF 125,500.00CHF 86,000.00CHF 108,600.009
Jul ’24CHF 111,000.00
CHF 102,550.00
-7.6%
10.0%CHF 125,500.00CHF 84,000.00CHF 104,200.0010
Jun ’24CHF 111,000.00
CHF 102,550.00
-7.6%
10.0%CHF 125,500.00CHF 84,000.00CHF 107,200.0010
May ’24CHF 109,800.00
CHF 102,550.00
-6.6%
10.0%CHF 125,500.00CHF 84,000.00CHF 106,400.0010
Apr ’24CHF 108,000.00
CHF 102,500.00
-5.1%
10.5%CHF 125,500.00CHF 84,000.00CHF 108,800.009
Mar ’24CHF 102,800.00
CHF 103,750.00
+0.9%
13.6%CHF 127,000.00CHF 82,000.00CHF 106,400.0010
Feb ’24CHF 101,900.00
CHF 103,750.00
+1.8%
13.6%CHF 127,000.00CHF 82,000.00CHF 111,000.0010
Jan ’24CHF 95,000.00
CHF 104,800.00
+10.3%
13.6%CHF 127,000.00CHF 82,000.00CHF 102,000.0010
Dec ’23CHF 98,200.00
CHF 106,000.00
+7.9%
14.2%CHF 127,000.00CHF 82,000.00CHF 106,600.009
Nov ’23CHF 97,000.00
CHF 105,500.00
+8.8%
15.1%CHF 127,000.00CHF 82,000.00CHF 101,200.008
Oct ’23CHF 98,400.00
CHF 106,750.00
+8.5%
14.8%CHF 127,000.00CHF 82,000.00CHF 100,400.008
Sep ’23CHF 104,400.00
CHF 110,285.71
+5.6%
12.4%CHF 127,000.00CHF 83,000.00CHF 103,600.007
Aug ’23CHF 109,600.00
CHF 110,285.71
+0.6%
12.4%CHF 127,000.00CHF 83,000.00CHF 105,800.007

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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