ConocoPhillips

SWX:COP Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 89.6b

ConocoPhillips Valuation

Is COP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of COP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

CHF 231.52
Fair Value
62.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
28
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: COP (CHF86.75) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF231.52)

Significantly Below Fair Value: COP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for COP?

Key metric: As COP is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for COP. This is calculated by dividing COP's market cap by their current earnings.
What is COP's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.5x
EarningsUS$8.82b
Market CapUS$111.54b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does COP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for COP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.9x
883 CNOOC
7.6x2.13%HK$1.1t
CNQ Canadian Natural Resources
14.7x6.09%CA$97.8b
EOG EOG Resources
10.7x3.17%US$59.5b
WDS Woodside Energy Group
10.7x-5.17%AU$48.3b
COP ConocoPhillips
12.5x6.29%CHF 111.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: COP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the peer average (10.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does COP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Oil and Gas Industry?

12 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
COP 12.5xIndustry Avg. 11.9xNo. of Companies12PE0612182430+
12 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: COP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the European Oil and Gas industry average (13x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is COP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

COP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate COP's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst COP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 86.75
CHF 90.78
+4.65%
7.26%CHF 105.37CHF 78.83n/a28
Nov ’26n/a
CHF 91.09
0%
7.09%CHF 104.07CHF 78.45n/a28
Oct ’26n/a
CHF 92.70
0%
6.72%CHF 109.26CHF 79.75n/a26
Sep ’26n/a
CHF 93.57
0%
6.83%CHF 109.93CHF 80.24n/a26
Aug ’26n/a
CHF 94.82
0%
7.68%CHF 112.90CHF 81.23n/a27
Jul ’26n/a
CHF 92.09
0%
8.24%CHF 111.87CHF 75.37n/a29
Jun ’26n/a
CHF 95.92
0%
8.67%CHF 115.18CHF 78.16n/a29
May ’26n/a
CHF 97.45
0%
7.85%CHF 116.14CHF 78.81n/a28
Apr ’26n/a
CHF 113.63
0%
8.60%CHF 145.84CHF 100.76n/a29
Mar ’26n/a
CHF 116.30
0%
8.19%CHF 148.03CHF 102.28n/a29
Feb ’26n/a
CHF 120.19
0%
9.40%CHF 150.27CHF 103.82n/a29
Jan ’26n/a
CHF 120.09
0%
9.71%CHF 149.13CHF 103.04n/a28
Dec ’25n/a
CHF 117.32
0%
8.53%CHF 133.82CHF 101.03n/a26
Nov ’25n/a
CHF 114.99
0%
8.66%CHF 131.46CHF 98.48n/a26
Oct ’25n/a
CHF 113.83
0%
9.07%CHF 136.25CHF 95.73n/a26
Sep ’25n/a
CHF 118.56
0%
8.65%CHF 137.09CHF 97.07n/a26
Aug ’25CHF 59.20
CHF 122.25
+106.50%
8.95%CHF 140.65CHF 97.85n/a26
Jul ’25CHF 59.20
CHF 127.41
+115.22%
9.18%CHF 148.49CHF 100.18n/a25
Jun ’25CHF 59.20
CHF 128.19
+116.53%
8.94%CHF 149.77CHF 101.05n/a25
May ’25CHF 59.20
CHF 129.21
+118.25%
8.72%CHF 151.14CHF 101.97n/a28
Apr ’25CHF 59.20
CHF 122.10
+106.25%
9.59%CHF 156.02CHF 91.09n/a27
Mar ’25CHF 59.20
CHF 118.49
+100.16%
9.82%CHF 152.27CHF 88.90n/a28
Feb ’25CHF 59.20
CHF 116.45
+96.70%
9.96%CHF 149.48CHF 87.27n/a28
Jan ’25CHF 59.20
CHF 114.62
+93.61%
9.24%CHF 137.94CHF 84.95n/a28
Dec ’24CHF 59.20
CHF 120.91
+104.23%
9.34%CHF 143.33CHF 85.65n/a28
CHF 109.65
Fair Value
20.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
28
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/12/02 10:53
End of Day Share Price 2025/12/02 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

ConocoPhillips is covered by 55 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
Joseph AllmanBaird
Wei JiangBarclays